09 Mar 2026 | 09:30 PM
Cerro Largo FC VS Montevideo City Torque
Montevideo City Torque shows superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches and a strong away record, generating higher xG (1.7 per game) compared to Cerro Largo's 1.1. Head-to-head favors Torque with two wins in the last three meetings, and no significant injuries reported for key players in the last 6 hours. Odds imply 42.6% win probability, but true win % estimated at 48% based on advanced metrics and form, creating +EV. Neutral weather and referee tendencies add no major edge to home side.
10 Mar 2026 | 12:30 AM
CA Boston River VS Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo holds a superior recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches compared to Boston River's 1 win and 3 losses, supported by higher xG metrics (1.8 vs 1.1 per game). Head-to-head records favor Liverpool, winning 4 of the last 6 encounters, including the most recent away win. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key players, and neutral weather conditions with no referee biases noted. Implied probability of 42.9% undervalues Liverpool's true win chance of approximately 50% based on advanced metrics and form.