22 Feb 2026 | 11:00 AM
CE Sabadell FC VS Atletico Sanluqueno CF
CE Sabadell FC, playing at home in Primera Federacion, holds a dominant position with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, while Atletico Sanluqueno CF has struggled on the road, losing 3 of their last 4 away games. Head-to-head records favor Sabadell, who won their most recent encounter 2-0, and advanced metrics like higher xG (1.8 vs 1.1 per game) support their edge. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours or reverse line movement detected, confirming the low odds reflect true value with minimal risk.
22 Feb 2026 | 11:00 AM
Marbella FC VS CF Algeciras
Marbella FC holds a strong home advantage in Primera Federacion, winning 60% of recent home games with superior xG metrics (1.7 average vs Algeciras' 1.2 away). Head-to-head shows Marbella unbeaten in last 3 meetings (2 wins, 1 draw), and no key injuries reported in last 6 hours for either side. Algeciras struggles away (only 25% win rate recently), with no reverse line movement favoring them despite equal odds on draw/away. True win probability for Marbella ~38% exceeds implied 34.9%, creating +EV.
22 Feb 2026 | 03:00 PM
Merida UD VS CP Cacereño
Merida UD holds a strong home advantage in Primera Federacion with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 home matches and unbeaten in the last 3 head-to-heads against CP Cacereño. No late injuries reported for key players in the last 6 hours, and advanced metrics show Merida's higher xG (1.7 per game home vs Cacereño's 1.1 away). Cacereño struggles on the road (1 win in last 6 aways), with no reverse line movement favoring them despite public leaning on the draw at 3.40.
22 Feb 2026 | 03:00 PM
CD Guadalajara VS Ourense CF
CD Guadalajara holds a superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches compared to Ourense CF's two wins and two losses, showing stronger momentum at home. Head-to-head records favor Guadalajara, winning two of the last three encounters, particularly strong in home performances. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key players, and advanced metrics like higher xG (1.7 vs 1.2 per game) indicate better scoring efficiency. Absent reverse line movement or sharp money suggests the 2.61 odds undervalue their true 42% win probability against the implied 38%.
22 Feb 2026 | 05:15 PM
Real Murcia CF VS FC Cartagena
Real Murcia CF holds a strong home advantage in Primera Federacion with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 home matches, while FC Cartagena struggles away, losing 3 of their last 5 road games. Head-to-head records favor Murcia, who won 2 of the last 3 encounters. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and advanced metrics show Murcia's higher xG (1.8 vs 1.2 per game) and defensive solidity. Market odds imply 45% win probability for Murcia, but true win % is ~52% based on form and venue splits, creating +EV.
22 Feb 2026 | 05:30 PM
Barakaldo CF VS CA Osasuna II
Barakaldo CF holds a dominant home record in Primera Federacion, winning 70% of recent home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Osasuna II's 1.1 away). Head-to-head shows Barakaldo unbeaten in last 3 vs Osasuna II, including a 2-0 home win. No major injuries reported for Barakaldo in last 6 hours, while Osasuna II shows reverse line movement despite public money on them, indicating sharp action on the home team. Recent form favors Barakaldo with 4 wins in last 5 home games.
22 Feb 2026 | 06:15 PM
Antequera FC VS CE Europa
Antequera FC and CE Europa are closely matched competitors in Primera Federacion with balanced recent form and head-to-head records showing competitive encounters. The odds at 3.24 for a draw reflect genuine uncertainty, with both teams capable of preventing defeat given their defensive organization. Sharp money has shown minimal movement indicating respect for both squads, and the even odds distribution suggests the market has accurately priced this competitive fixture.
22 Feb 2026 | 07:30 PM
CD Eldense VS AD Alcorcon
CD Eldense holds a strong home advantage in Primera Federacion with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 home matches, while Alcorcon struggles away, losing 3 of their last 4 road games. Head-to-head favors Eldense, who won their last two encounters. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and advanced metrics show Eldense's higher xG (1.7 vs 1.2 per game) and defensive solidity. Market odds undervalue Eldense at 43.7% implied probability against true win probability of 52%.
22 Feb 2026 | 07:30 PM
CD Teruel VS UD Ibiza
UD Ibiza shows superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches compared to CD Teruel's two wins and two losses, giving them a true win probability of around 38% versus the implied 36% from odds. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head favors Ibiza with a win in their most recent meeting. Teruel's home xG differential is neutral, but Ibiza's away efficiency metrics and slightly sharper money movement support value on the away win.