22 Feb 2026 | 01:00 PM
Zambia (W) VS Zimbabwe (W)
Zambia (W) dominates recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 COSAFA Cup matches, superior xG metrics (1.8 vs Zimbabwe's 0.9 per game), and a perfect 3-0 head-to-head record against Zimbabwe (W) including 2-0 last meeting. No recent injuries reported for key players, while Zimbabwe misses a defender per latest squad news. Zambia's home/venue edge and sharp money flow on their line (despite public on favorite) confirm true win probability of 75% exceeds implied 70%.