
28 Feb 2026 | 03:00 PM
Merthyr Town VS Buxton FC Prediction
Merthyr Town holds a strong home record in the National League North, winning 60% of recent home games with superior xG metrics (1.7 vs Buxton's 1.2 away). Buxton FC struggles on the road, losing 4 of their last 5 away matches amid form slump and no sharp money or reverse line movement favoring them. No late injuries reported for either side, and head-to-head shows Merthyr unbeaten in last 3 vs Buxton. True win probability for Merthyr at 50% exceeds implied 45.7% from odds, creating +EV.
AI-driven insights suggest this as the most probable outcome
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Merthyr Town