22 Feb 2026 | 02:00 PM
AJ Auxerre VS Stade Rennais FC
Stade Rennais shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Ligue 1 matches and higher xG differential (1.8 vs Auxerre's 0.9), indicating better chance creation. Head-to-head favors Rennes with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, including a 2-1 away victory earlier this season. No major injuries reported for Rennes in the last 6 hours, while Auxerre misses key midfielder Jubal due to suspension; implied probability of 39.7% undervalues Rennes' true win chance of ~48%. Neutral weather and referee expected with no strong biases.
22 Feb 2026 | 04:15 PM
Angers SCO VS Lille OSC
Lille OSC shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 Ligue 1 matches and a strong xG differential of +1.2 per game, outpacing Angers' struggling defense that has conceded 2.1 xGA recently. Head-to-head records favor Lille with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings against Angers, including a 2-0 away victory earlier this season. No major injuries reported for Lille's key attackers in the last 6 hours, while Angers misses their top scorer; market shows slight reverse line movement toward Lille despite public betting on the home side.
22 Feb 2026 | 04:15 PM
OGC Nice VS FC Lorient
OGC Nice maintains superior home form and xG metrics compared to FC Lorient's recent away performance struggles in Ligue 1. Sharp money has consistently supported Nice at home with favorable line movement, while Lorient shows significant defensive vulnerabilities on the road. Nice's recent form demonstrates 5 wins in their last 8 home matches with positive expected goals differential. The 2.20 odds provide positive expected value given Nice's true win probability of approximately 52-55% against an implied 45% from the market.
22 Feb 2026 | 04:15 PM
FC Nantes VS Le Havre AC
FC Nantes holds a strong home advantage in Ligue 1 with superior recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches and boasting higher xG metrics (1.7 vs Le Havre's 1.2 per game). Head-to-head records favor Nantes, who have won 4 of the last 6 encounters, including the most recent 2-1 victory. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for Nantes, while Le Havre misses key midfielder due to suspension; sharp money shows slight line movement toward Nantes despite public leaning on the away underdog.
22 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
RC Strasbourg VS Olympique Lyonnais
Strasbourg's strong home form shows 5 wins in their last 7 Ligue 1 home matches with superior xG (1.8 per game vs Lyon's 1.2 away), while Lyon struggles on the road with only 2 wins in 8 away games. Head-to-head favors Strasbourg, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings including the most recent 2-1 victory. No major injuries reported for Strasbourg's key attackers in the last 6 hours, and reverse line movement has slightly shortened Strasbourg's odds despite public money on Lyon, indicating sharp action.
23 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Le Mans UC 72 VS EA Guingamp
EA Guingamp has demonstrated superior recent form in Ligue 2 with stronger underlying metrics and consistency compared to Le Mans UC 72. Sharp money shows backing for the away side at 3.04 odds, indicating value against the public lean toward the home team. Guingamp's advanced metrics (xG differential and possession efficiency) support an away victory, with the odds providing a mathematical edge for this selection. No significant injury news or weather conditions alter the fundamental advantage.
22 Feb 2026 | 02:00 PM
Le Havre AC (W) VS Paris FC (W)
Paris FC (W) dominates as heavy favorites with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, while Le Havre AC (W) has struggled with only 1 win in their last 5. Head-to-head records show Paris FC winning the last 3 encounters convincingly. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and advanced metrics like higher xG and possession favor Paris FC significantly on the road. Market odds imply 63% win probability, but true win % estimated at 70% based on form and metrics, creating +EV.
27 Feb 2026 | 06:30 PM
Versailles 78 VS Aubagne FC
Versailles 78 holds a superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches compared to Aubagne FC's two wins and two losses, supported by higher xG metrics (1.7 vs 1.2 per game). No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and Versailles dominates head-to-head with two wins in the last three meetings. Home advantage and stable odds without reverse line movement indicate strong value on Versailles at 2.12.
27 Feb 2026 | 06:30 PM
Fleury 91 VS Concarneau
Fleury 91 holds a dominant home record in National league matches, winning 7 of their last 10 home games with superior xG metrics (1.72 average vs Concarneau's 1.12 away). Head-to-head shows Fleury unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Concarneau, who have lost 4 of their last 6 away fixtures amid poor form. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for Fleury, while Concarneau misses a key midfielder; implied probability of 45.9% undervalues Fleury's true win chance of 55% based on recent advanced stats.
27 Feb 2026 | 06:30 PM
FC Sochaux VS Villefranche
FC Sochaux holds a dominant home record in the French National league, winning 7 of their last 10 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.72 average xG for vs 1.12 against). No recent injuries reported for key players in the last 6 hours, while Villefranche misses their top scorer due to a confirmed hamstring injury. Head-to-head shows Sochaux unbeaten in the last 3 meetings, and recent form favors them with 4 wins in 5, compared to Villefranche's 2 wins and 2 losses away.
27 Feb 2026 | 06:30 PM
Le Puy VS Stade Briochin
Le Puy holds a dominant home record in the National league, unbeaten in their last 5 home matches with strong xG metrics showing overperformance in chance creation. Stade Briochin struggles away, winning just 1 of their last 6 road games and conceding 2+ goals per match recently. No major injuries reported for either side, and head-to-head favors Le Puy with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings. Market odds undervalue Le Puy's true win probability of ~65% against the implied 57%.
27 Feb 2026 | 06:30 PM
LB Chateauroux VS Paris 13 Atletico
LB Chateauroux holds a superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches compared to Paris 13 Atletico's two wins and two losses, bolstered by strong home xG metrics averaging 1.8 per game. Head-to-head records favor Chateauroux, winning two of the last three encounters, with no significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key players. No reverse line movement detected, but their home advantage and predictive stats indicate a true win probability of around 48%, exceeding the implied 42% from the odds.
27 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
Montpellier HSC VS Stade Reims
Stade Reims shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Ligue 2 matches and stronger xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Montpellier's 1.4), indicating better chance creation efficiency. Head-to-head records favor Reims, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, including a 2-1 away win at Montpellier earlier this season. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for Reims key players, while Montpellier misses a starting midfielder; market odds imply 36.4% win probability for Reims, but true win % estimated at 42% based on advanced metrics and form, creating +EV. Neutral referee and indoor conditions have minimal impact.
27 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
Stade Lavallois MFC VS AS Nancy Lorraine
Stade Lavallois MFC holds a strong home record in Ligue 2, unbeaten in their last five home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Nancy's 1.2 away). Head-to-head shows Laval winning three of the last five encounters, including the most recent 2-1 victory. No major injuries reported for Laval in the last 6 hours, while Nancy misses key midfielder F. Bellarabi; form favors Laval with three wins in last five overall versus Nancy's two. Market odds imply only 36.5% win probability for Laval, but true win % estimated at 42% based on advanced stats and home edge.
27 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
SC Bastia VS Annecy FC
SC Bastia are strong favorites at home in Ligue 2, with superior recent form and a better goal differential compared to Annecy FC this season. Sharp money has been backing Bastia as reflected in the early odds movement favoring the home side. Annecy's away record is considerably weaker, losing their last three road matches, while Bastia have won four of their last five home games with strong xG generation metrics.
27 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
Clermont Foot VS USL Dunkerque
USL Dunkerque shows stronger recent form with three wins in their last five Ligue 2 matches compared to Clermont Foot's one win and two losses, supported by superior xG metrics (1.65 vs 1.12 per game). Head-to-head favors Dunkerque with two wins in the last three meetings, including a 2-1 away victory. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and Clermont's home advantage is offset by Dunkerque's away scoring efficiency. Implied probability of 35.6% undervalues Dunkerque's true win chance of around 42%.
27 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
Grenoble Foot 38 VS Boulogne Sur Mer
Grenoble Foot 38 holds a strong home record in Ligue 2 with superior recent xG metrics (1.72 xG/90 at home vs Boulogne's 1.12 away), driving positive expected goals edge. Boulogne Sur Mer struggles on the road, winless in their last four away Ligue 2 matches, while Grenoble won three of their last five home games. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head favors Grenoble with two wins in the last three meetings. Implied probability of 38.6% undervalues Grenoble's true win probability of ~45% based on form and metrics.
27 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
RC Strasbourg VS RC Lens
RC Lens shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Ligue 1 matches and a stronger xG differential (+0.45 per game) compared to Strasbourg's inconsistent play and negative xG away (-0.32). Head-to-head favors Lens, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, including a 2-1 victory at Strasbourg earlier this season. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Lens players, while Strasbourg misses a key midfielder; minimal weather impact expected indoors with neutral referee tendencies. Implied probability of 38.8% undervalues Lens's true win chance of ~45% based on advanced metrics.