18 Jan 2026 | 02:00 PM
RC Strasbourg VS FC Metz Prediction
Market data from major books shows Strasbourg attracting a majority of sharp money despite more public tickets on the long-priced Metz side, with the home price either holding firm or slightly shortening, indicating reverse line movement in favor of Strasbourg. Recent xG and underlying performance metrics in Ligue 1 rate Strasbourg as a mid-table xG side with solid defensive numbers at home, while Metz ranks near the bottom in both xG created and xG conceded, especially away. Latest available injury reports do not show fresh key absences for Strasbourg, while Metz remain thin in key attacking positions, further reducing their offensive ceiling on the road. Strasbourg’s strong home splits and Metz’s poor away form make the implied probability at 1.63 slightly undervalue Strasbourg’s true win chance, creating a small but positive expected value on the home win.
AI-driven insights suggest this as the most probable outcome
Full Time Result
RC Strasbourg