22 Feb 2026 | 02:00 PM
Argentinos Juniors VS CA Lanus
Argentinos Juniors hold a dominant home record in recent Liga Profesional matches, winning 4 of their last 5 at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona with superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Lanus' 1.1 away). Head-to-head shows Argentinos unbeaten in the last 3 vs Lanus, including a 2-0 home win last season. No major injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours, and sharp money has moved the line slightly toward home win despite public leaning on the underdog. Lanus struggles away (1 win in 6), making the 1.77 odds undervalued with true win probability around 60% vs implied 56%.
22 Feb 2026 | 09:30 PM
Velez Sarsfield VS River Plate
River Plate shows superior recent form with four wins in their last five matches and a dominant head-to-head record, winning three of the last five against Velez Sarsfield. Advanced metrics favor River with higher xG (1.8 vs 1.2 per game) and better away performance (65% win rate). No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key players, and slight reverse line movement towards River despite public money on Velez. Neutral weather conditions at the outdoor venue with no referee bias noted.
23 Feb 2026 | 12:00 AM
Union de Santa Fe VS CA Aldosivi
Union de Santa Fe holds a dominant home record in Liga Profesional, winning 65% of recent home matches with superior xG metrics (1.72 xG vs Aldosivi's 0.89 away). No recent injuries impact Union, while Aldosivi reports a key defender out, weakening their defense. Head-to-head favors Union with 3 wins in last 5 meetings, and sharp money shows reverse line movement toward Union despite public on draw. Aldosivi's poor away form (1 win in 8) confirms true win probability of 62% exceeds implied 58%.
22 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
San Lorenzo VS Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo holds a dominant home record in Liga Profesional and superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches with strong xG metrics outperforming Estudiantes Rio Cuarto's poor away splits (1 win in 8). Head-to-head favors San Lorenzo with 3 wins in last 5 meetings, no reverse line movement or sharp money on the underdog despite public leaning. No late injuries reported for key San Lorenzo players, and favorable home conditions solidify their true win probability at ~65% vs implied 59.5%.
24 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
CA Platense Buenos Aires VS Defensa y Justicia
CA Platense holds a strong home record in recent Liga Profesional matches, winning 4 of their last 6 at home with superior xG metrics (1.7 average vs Defensa's 1.2 away). Head-to-head shows Platense unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Defensa y Justicia. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for Platense, while Defensa misses a key midfielder; form favors Platense with 3 wins in last 5 overall. Market odds imply 42% win probability, but true win % estimated at 48% based on advanced stats and home edge.
24 Feb 2026 | 10:15 PM
San Lorenzo VS Instituto AC Cordoba
San Lorenzo holds a dominant home record in the Liga Profesional, winning 4 of their last 5 home matches with strong underlying xG metrics (1.7 xG per game average recently). Instituto AC Cordoba struggles away, losing 3 of their last 5 road games with poor defensive efficiency allowing 1.8 xGA per match. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, head-to-head favors San Lorenzo (2 wins in last 3 meetings), and market odds imply only 42% win probability versus true win % estimated at 50% creating +EV.
24 Feb 2026 | 10:45 PM
Central Cordoba VS CA Talleres de Cordoba
CA Talleres de Cordoba hold a superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches and an undefeated record in the last three head-to-heads against Central Cordoba, including a 2-0 away win. Advanced metrics show Talleres with higher xG (1.7 per game vs Central Cordoba's 1.1) and better away performance (60% win rate). No major injuries reported for Talleres in the last 6 hours, while Central Cordoba misses a key defender; odds imply 36% win probability, but true win % is estimated at 42% creating +EV. Neutral weather and referee show no strong bias.
25 Feb 2026 | 12:30 AM
CA Belgrano VS Club Atletico Tucuman
Belgrano holds a strong home record in the Liga Profesional, unbeaten in their last 5 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.7 per game) compared to Tucuman's poor away form (winless in 6 away games, xG conceded 1.9). Head-to-head favors Belgrano with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and Tucuman shows reverse line movement indicating sharp money against them despite public backing.
25 Feb 2026 | 01:00 AM
Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza VS CA Independiente
CA Independiente shows superior recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches compared to Gimnasia Mendoza's 1 win, backed by better advanced metrics like higher xG differential (1.4 vs 0.8 per game). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and Independiente dominates head-to-head with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings. Away form remains strong for Independiente (60% win rate), while home advantage for Gimnasia is minimal in this venue; implied probability of 40.7% undervalues their true win chance of 48%.
25 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
Barracas Central VS CA Tigre
CA Tigre shows superior recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches compared to Barracas Central's 1 win and 3 draws, supported by higher xG metrics (1.65 vs 1.12 per game). Head-to-head favors Tigre, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings, including a 2-1 away victory. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and mild weather conditions at Barracas' home venue pose no significant impact. Market odds imply 36.6% win probability for Tigre, but true win probability estimated at 42% based on advanced metrics and form, creating +EV.
25 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata VS CA Rosario Central
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata have struggled at home recently with only 1 win in their last 5 matches and poor xG performance (1.1 per game), while Rosario Central show solid away form unbeaten in 4 of last 5 road games and higher defensive efficiency. Head-to-head records favor draws in 3 of the last 5 meetings at this venue, with no major injuries reported in the last 6 hours. Market odds undervalue the draw at 37.5% implied probability against a true 42% based on advanced metrics and form, creating +EV. Weather is clear with no referee bias noted.
25 Feb 2026 | 10:30 PM
Velez Sarsfield VS Deportivo Riestra
Velez Sarsfield is the strong home favorite in Liga Profesional with superior recent form and better squad depth compared to Deportivo Riestra. The odds of 2.05 reflect Velez's dominant position, with implied probability of 48.8% aligning well with their expected win percentage based on current metrics. Riestra struggles away from home and lacks the tactical sophistication to exploit Velez's potential vulnerabilities. The value play is backing Velez at 2.05 given their consistent performances and home advantage.
25 Feb 2026 | 10:30 PM
Newells Old Boys VS Estudiantes de La Plata
Estudiantes hold a superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches compared to Newell's 2 wins, backed by higher xG metrics (1.8 vs 1.2 per game). Head-to-head favors Estudiantes with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, including a 2-0 away victory at Newell's. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key players, and reverse line movement shows sharp money on Estudiantes despite public leaning towards the home team. True win probability estimated at 48% exceeds the implied 43.9% from odds, creating +EV.
26 Feb 2026 | 08:15 PM
CA Sarmiento VS Union de Santa Fe
Union de Santa Fe are strong favorites with superior recent form, currently positioned higher in the Liga Profesional standings with better defensive metrics and goal differential than Sarmiento. The 2.25 odds reflect an implied probability of 44.4%, which undervalues Union's consistent home performance and recent momentum against a struggling Sarmiento side. Sharp money has supported the favorite with modest line movement, while Sarmiento's injury concerns and away form weakness create additional edge for backing Union at these odds.
26 Feb 2026 | 08:15 PM
Racing Club VS Independiente Rivadavia
Racing Club holds a dominant head-to-head record against Independiente Rivadavia, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings, with superior home form showing 7 wins in their last 10 Liga Profesional home games. Advanced metrics reveal Racing's higher xG (1.72 per match vs 1.12) and defensive solidity (xGA 0.98), while Rivadavia struggles away (1 win in 8). No major injuries reported for Racing in the last 6 hours, and no reverse line movement favors the underdog despite stable odds. Recent form gives Racing 4 wins in 6, outpacing Rivadavia's 2 wins in 7.
26 Feb 2026 | 10:30 PM
River Plate VS CA Banfield
River Plate holds a dominant head-to-head record against Banfield, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs 0.9 average). Recent form shows River unbeaten in their last 5 league matches at home, while Banfield has lost 3 of their last 4 away games with poor defensive efficiency. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key River players, and sharp money has moved the line slightly toward River despite public betting on the favorite. Weather in Buenos Aires is clear, favoring the home side's high-possession style.
26 Feb 2026 | 10:30 PM
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto VS CA Huracan
CA Huracan shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches and a strong away record, while Estudiantes Rio Cuarto has struggled at home, winning only 2 of their last 8. Head-to-head favors Huracan, who won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including a 2-0 victory earlier this season. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and advanced metrics indicate Huracan's higher xG (1.7 vs 1.1 per game) and defensive solidity. Implied probability of 45% undervalues their true win chance of ~55%.