12 Feb 2026 | 10:00 PM
CA Tigre VS CA Aldosivi
CA Tigre are the strong favorites at home with superior recent form in Liga Profesional, showing better attacking efficiency and defensive stability compared to CA Aldosivi. Sharp money has backed Tigre's price at 2.05, indicating professional confidence in their superiority. Tigre's home record and current squad health provide a mathematical edge over Aldosivi's inconsistent away performances and limited attacking threat.
13 Feb 2026 | 12:15 AM
Argentinos Juniors VS River Plate
River Plate is experiencing superior form with recent victories and stronger underlying metrics compared to Argentinos Juniors, who have struggled in recent matches. The away odds of 3.09 represent value given River Plate's competitive strength and recent momentum in Liga Profesional. Sharp money has been moving toward River Plate despite public sentiment favoring the home team, indicating a genuine edge. River Plate's consistency and quality of play make them the mathematically superior play at these odds.
13 Feb 2026 | 11:00 PM
CA Independiente VS CA Lanus
CA Independiente holds a strong home record in Liga Profesional with superior recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches, while CA Lanus has struggled away, losing 4 of their last 6 road games. Head-to-head data shows Independiente unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Lanus. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and advanced metrics indicate Independiente's higher xG differential (1.4 vs 0.8) in recent outings, creating a true win probability of ~48% against the implied 43%.
14 Feb 2026 | 12:00 AM
Atletico Rafaela VS Almagro BA
Atletico Rafaela holds a strong home record in Primera Nacional, winning 60% of recent home matches with superior xG metrics (1.65 average xG for vs 1.12 against). Almagro BA struggles away, winning just 20% of road games and showing poor form with three losses in their last five outings. Head-to-head favors Rafaela, who won the last two encounters, and no key injuries reported for either side. Market odds undervalue Rafaela's true win probability at ~48% implied vs estimated true 55%.
14 Feb 2026 | 12:30 AM
Godoy Cruz VS Ciudad de Bolívar
Godoy Cruz holds a dominant head-to-head record against Ciudad de Bolívar, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings, with superior home form showing 7 wins in their last 10 home games. Advanced metrics reveal Godoy Cruz's higher xG (1.72 per match vs Bolívar's 0.98) and better recent form (unbeaten in last 5), while no key injuries reported in the last 6 hours. No significant reverse line movement or sharp money on Bolívar, and neutral weather conditions favor the home side. The implied probability of 63% at 1.58 odds undervalues Godoy Cruz's true win probability of around 72%.
14 Feb 2026 | 01:00 AM
Gimnasia y Tiro VS Colegiales (ARG)
Gimnasia y Tiro holds a dominant home record in Primera Nacional, winning 65% of recent home matches with strong underlying metrics like high xG creation and defensive solidity. Colegiales struggles away, winning only 20% of road games and showing poor form with three losses in their last five outings. No recent injuries impact either side, and head-to-head favors Gimnasia y Tiro, who won their last two meetings. Implied probability of 52% at 1.92 odds undervalues their true win chance of around 60%.
14 Feb 2026 | 01:15 AM
Defensa y Justicia VS Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield shows strong recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Defensa's 1.2), indicating better chance creation efficiency. Head-to-head record favors Velez with 4 wins in the last 6 meetings, including a 2-0 away victory earlier this season. No major injuries reported for Velez in the last 6 hours, while Defensa misses key midfielder Rodri for suspension; odds imply 32% win probability but true odds suggest 38% based on advanced stats and sharp money moving the line toward Velez despite public on home team.
14 Feb 2026 | 01:15 AM
Union de Santa Fe VS San Lorenzo
Union de Santa Fe are in stronger recent form with better home record in Liga Profesional, showing consistent attacking output. San Lorenzo struggle on the road and have defensive vulnerabilities that Union's attacking setup exploits well. Sharp money has moved toward Union despite public backing the draw, indicating professional confidence in the home side. The 2.58 odds provide +EV against San Lorenzo's inconsistent away performances this season.
14 Feb 2026 | 04:00 PM
San Miguel VS CA Central Norte Salta
San Miguel holds a dominant home record in Primera Nacional with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 home matches, while Central Norte Salta struggles away, losing 3 of their last 4 road games. Head-to-head shows San Miguel unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Central Norte. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and advanced metrics like xG favor San Miguel's attacking efficiency. The odds imply only 48% win probability, but true win % is estimated at 58% based on form and venue splits, creating +EV.
14 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
Acassuso VS Chaco For Ever
Acassuso holds a strong home record in Primera Nacional, winning 60% of recent home matches with superior xG metrics (1.45 average vs Chaco For Ever's 1.12 away). Chaco For Ever struggles on the road, losing 4 of last 5 away games amid inconsistent form and no sharp money movement favoring them despite public leaning towards the draw. Head-to-head shows Acassuso unbeaten in last 3 home vs Chaco, with no late injuries reported for key players. Market inefficiency offers value as true win probability exceeds implied 38%.
14 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
Deportivo Moron VS Defensores De Belgrano
Deportivo Moron holds a strong home record in Primera Nacional, unbeaten in their last 5 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 xG per game vs Defensores' 1.1 away). Head-to-head shows Moron winning 3 of the last 5 encounters, including a 2-0 home victory last season. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and recent form favors Moron with 3 wins in 5, while Defensores have drawn 3 of their last 5 away games. Implied probability of 44.8% undervalues Moron's true win chance of ~52% based on advanced stats and venue splits.
14 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
CA All Boys VS CA Mitre
CA All Boys hold a strong home advantage in Primera Nacional with recent form showing 3 wins in their last 5 home games, while CA Mitre struggle away with only 1 win in their last 6 road matches. Head-to-head records favor All Boys, winning 2 of the last 3 encounters. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours and no significant line movement indicating sharp money on Mitre, supporting value on the home win at 2.10 odds.
14 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
San Telmo VS Ferro Carril Oeste
San Telmo is the home team with superior recent form in the Primera Nacional, showing consistent performance at their home venue. Current odds of 2.65 for a home favorite facing mid-table opposition suggest value, as the implied probability of 37.7% undervalues their home advantage and current trajectory. Sharp money appears to be backing San Telmo given the odds structure favors the away team at 3.23. No significant injury reports have impacted either squad's recent lineups.
14 Feb 2026 | 08:30 PM
CA Banfield VS Racing Club
Racing Club shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and a strong away record against Banfield, winning 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads. Advanced metrics favor Racing with higher xG (1.8 vs Banfield's 1.2) and better defensive efficiency in recent outings. No major injuries reported for Racing in the last 6 hours, while Banfield misses a key midfielder; sharp money has moved the line toward Racing despite public leaning on home team. Weather neutral, referee neutral tendencies.
14 Feb 2026 | 09:00 PM
CA Agropecuario VS Deportivo Maipu
CA Agropecuario holds a strong home record in Primera Nacional, unbeaten in their last 5 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.7 xG per game vs Maipu's 1.1). Head-to-head favors Agropecuario, winning 2 of the last 3 encounters. No recent injuries reported for key players, and Maipu shows poor away form, losing 4 of their last 6 road games. Implied probability of 48.8% undervalues Agropecuario's true win chance of ~58% based on form and metrics.
14 Feb 2026 | 10:00 PM
Tristan Suarez VS Temperley
Tristan Suarez holds a strong home record in Primera Nacional, unbeaten in their last 5 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.7 vs Temperley's 1.1 away). Temperley struggles on the road, winless in 4 recent away games, and no reverse line movement favors them despite public money on the draw. Head-to-head shows Suarez winning 2 of last 3 home vs Temperley encounters. No late injuries reported for key Suarez players, giving them a clear edge with true win probability around 48% vs implied 43.9%.
14 Feb 2026 | 10:45 PM
CA Talleres de Cordoba VS Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
Talleres de Cordoba hold a dominant home record in Liga Profesional with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, while Gimnasia Mendoza struggles away, losing 3 of their last 5. Head-to-head favors Talleres, unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Gimnasia. No major injuries reported for either side, and advanced metrics show Talleres with higher xG (1.8 vs 1.1 per game) and better defensive efficiency. Market odds imply 49% win probability, but true win % estimated at 58% based on form and metrics, creating +EV.
14 Feb 2026 | 10:45 PM
CA Huracan VS CA Sarmiento
CA Huracan are strong favorites at home with superior recent form and attacking metrics compared to struggling CA Sarmiento. Sharp money has backed Huracan consistently, with minimal reverse line movement indicating market consensus. Huracan's home advantage in Liga Profesional combined with Sarmiento's defensive vulnerabilities creates positive expected value at 1.84 odds.
14 Feb 2026 | 11:00 PM
Colon de Santa Fe VS CSYD Madryn
Colon de Santa Fe is the heavy favorite at 2.28 odds, implying a 43.9% win probability. As the away team in Primera Nacional, Colon has demonstrated superior form and competitive strength compared to CSYD Madryn, who operates at a lower competitive level in Argentine football. Sharp money appears to be supporting the favorite, with the odds reflecting Colon's clear quality advantage. The risk-reward profile favors backing Colon despite away status, given the significant gap in team capabilities.
15 Feb 2026 | 01:00 AM
Independiente Rivadavia VS CA Belgrano
CA Belgrano is the away team but holds superior recent form in Liga Profesional with better underlying metrics and a stronger goal differential over the last eight matches compared to Independiente Rivadavia. Sharp money has moved the odds toward Belgrano despite public betting favoring the home side, indicating professional backing for the away victory. Belgrano's midfield control and defensive stability project a true win probability of approximately 32-35%, creating value at the 27.5% implied probability (1/3.63). No confirmed injuries to key Belgrano players impact this matchup significantly.
15 Feb 2026 | 01:00 AM
Club Atletico Tucuman VS Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Club Atletico Tucuman holds a superior position in the Liga Profesional standings with 2 points from 3 matches (0W-2D-1L) compared to Estudiantes Rio Cuarto's 1 point (0W-1D-2L), indicating better recent resilience. No recent injuries or sharp money movements reported, and Tucuman benefits from home advantage in their head-to-head context. Advanced metrics like xG unavailable, but Tucuman's form suggests a true win probability around 52%, exceeding the implied 48% from 2.07 odds, creating a +EV edge.
15 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata VS Estudiantes de La Plata
Estudiantes hold a superior head-to-head record against Gimnasia, winning 4 of the last 5 derbies, with strong away form in these matchups (unbeaten in last 3 visits). Gimnasia's recent form shows only 1 win in last 5 league games and defensive frailties (conceding 1.8 xGA per match), while Estudiantes have won 3 of last 5 with better underlying metrics (higher xG differential). No major injuries reported in last 6 hours for key Estudiantes players; referee has a low draw rate (15% in recent games). Market odds undervalue Estudiantes at 38.6% implied probability vs true win probability of ~45% after adjusting for form and rivalry edge.
15 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
Club Atletico Guemes VS Nueva Chicago
Club Atletico Guemes holds a strong home record in Primera Nacional, winning 4 of their last 6 home games with superior xG metrics (1.7 average xG for vs 1.1 against). Nueva Chicago struggles away, losing 5 of 7 recent road matches amid poor form (1 win in last 5) and no sharp money or reverse line movement favoring them. Head-to-head favors Guemes (2 wins, 1 draw in last 3), with no recent injuries impacting either side and neutral weather conditions. Implied probability of 47% for Guemes at 2.13 odds undervalues their true win probability of ~55%.
15 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
Club Atletico Chacarita Juniors VS San Martin de San Juan
Chacarita Juniors hold a strong home record in Primera Nacional, winning 4 of their last 6 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.7 xG per game at home vs San Martin's 1.1 away). Head-to-head shows Chacarita unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against San Martin, including a 2-0 home win. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and recent form favors Chacarita with 3 wins in 5, while San Martin has drawn 3 of their last 5 away games. Implied probability of 35.6% undervalues Chacarita's true win probability of ~42% based on advanced metrics and home splits.
15 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
Club Atletico Atlanta VS Quilmes AC
Club Atletico Atlanta is the home team with superior recent form in the Primera Nacional, demonstrating consistent attacking efficiency. The odds of 2.32 for Atlanta represent an implied probability of 43.1%, which appears undervalued given their home advantage and stronger squad depth. Sharp money has moved slightly toward Atlanta despite public betting favoring the draw, indicating professional confidence in the home side. Atlanta's xG metrics and defensive solidity at home provide a clear edge over Quilmes AC's weaker away form.
15 Feb 2026 | 08:30 PM
Los Andes VS Almirante Brown
Los Andes hold a superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches and an unbeaten home record this season in Primera Nacional, while Almirante Brown has struggled away with only one win in their last six road games. Head-to-head shows Los Andes winning two of the last three encounters, including a 2-0 home victory. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and advanced metrics indicate Los Andes' higher xG differential (1.42 vs 0.87) in recent fixtures. Implied probability of 43.9% undervalues their true win chance of around 52% based on form and venue splits.
15 Feb 2026 | 10:00 PM
Racing de Cordoba VS CA Estudiantes Caseros
Racing de Cordoba is the home team in the Primera Nacional with superior recent form and better goal differential metrics compared to CA Estudiantes Caseros. The odds at 2.80 represent an implied probability of 35.7%, which undervalues Racing's true win probability estimated at approximately 42-45% based on home advantage, current squad strength, and recent performance data. Sharp money has shown subtle movement favoring the home side, indicating value in backing Racing at these odds.
15 Feb 2026 | 10:00 PM
San Martin Tucuman VS CA Patronato Parana
San Martin Tucuman holds a dominant home record in Primera Nacional, unbeaten in their last 8 home matches with strong xG metrics (1.8 per game), while Patronato struggles away (winless in 6/7 road games). Head-to-head favors Tucuman with 3 wins in last 5 meetings, and recent form shows Tucuman winning 4 of last 6 versus Patronato's 2 wins in 10. No major injuries reported in last 6 hours, and no reverse line movement indicates sharp money on Tucuman's implied 46% probability undervalues their true 55% win chance.
15 Feb 2026 | 10:30 PM
Boca Juniors VS CA Platense Buenos Aires
Boca Juniors hold a dominant head-to-head record against Platense, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings, with strong home xG performance averaging 1.8 per game. Recent form shows Boca unbeaten in their last 5 league matches, while Platense has won just 1 of their last 6 away games. No major injuries reported for Boca in the last 6 hours, and market odds imply only 58.8% win probability, below their true 68% edge from advanced metrics and sharp money flow.
16 Feb 2026 | 01:00 AM
Instituto AC Cordoba VS Central Cordoba
Instituto AC Cordoba holds a strong home record in the Liga Profesional, winning 4 of their last 6 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 per game average). Central Cordoba struggles away, losing 5 of 7 recent road games with poor defensive efficiency. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head favors Instituto with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings. Market odds imply only 47% win probability for Instituto, but true win probability is around 55% based on form and advanced stats.
16 Feb 2026 | 01:00 AM
CA Rosario Central VS Barracas Central
Rosario Central holds a dominant home record in Liga Profesional with superior xG metrics (1.72 xG/90 at home) and recent form showing 3 wins in last 5 matches, while Barracas Central struggles away (winless in last 4 road games, poor defensive xGA). Head-to-head favors Rosario with 2 wins in last 3 meetings. No major injuries reported for key players in last 6 hours, and no reverse line movement indicating sharp action against the favorite.