Poland are narrowly favored to win this United Cup tie against Australia because of their higher-ranked leaders Iga Swiatek and Hubert Hurkacz, with most markets pricing Poland around 1.70 and Australia close to 2.10. Swiatek is world No. 2 and Hurkacz is a top-10 threat, while Australia rely heavily on Alex de Minaur’s recent form, making this a competitive but slightly Poland-favored matchup on DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The Australia vs Poland United Cup tie is scheduled to start at 6:30 AM UTC on January 9, 2026, which corresponds to 5:30 PM local time in Sydney, Australia. Individual rubbers in the tie will follow consecutively on the same day on the main stadium court.

This United Cup quarter-final between Australia and Poland will be played in Sydney at Ken Rosewall Arena, part of the Sydney Olympic Park Tennis Centre. The stadium is an outdoor hard-court venue with a capacity of around 10,000 spectators and regularly hosts top-level ATP and WTA events as a lead-up to the Australian Open.

Prediction: Poland to edge Australia in a tight tie, with an implied win probability of roughly 58–60% based on typical odds near 1.70 for Poland and 2.10 for Australia. Poland’s combination of Swiatek’s dominance in women’s singles and Hurkacz’s big-serve threat in men’s singles gives them a slight advantage, though Australia’s home support and Alex de Minaur’s strong hard-court record keep an upset very realistic.

In recent United Cup history, Poland and Australia have not met frequently in the knockout rounds, but Poland have consistently gone deep with Swiatek and Hurkacz, including a run to the 2025 final, while Australia have relied on de Minaur to carry them into the latter stages. Overall team head-to-head at the United Cup is limited, so this 2026 clash effectively serves as a fresh high-stakes meeting between the nations on hard courts.