Alina Korneeva is slightly favored to win against Zhuoxuan Bai based on her stronger hard-court Elo rating and better results in late 2025, with indicative odds around 1.70 for Korneeva and 2.10 for Bai on major sportsbooks, reflecting roughly a 58–60% implied win probability for the Russian. Korneeva’s heavier baseline game and higher first-serve points won on hard courts give her a small edge, which is reflected in market pricing on DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The match between Zhuoxuan Bai and Alina Korneeva at the Australian Open (W) is scheduled to start at 11:00 PM on 12 January 2026 local time in Melbourne (AEDT, UTC+11). For international fans, this corresponds to 12:00 PM UTC on the same calendar day.

This Australian Open (W) match will be played at Melbourne Park in Melbourne, Australia, the multi-court complex that hosts all main-draw matches of the tournament. Depending on scheduling, it will be assigned to one of the main arenas such as Rod Laver Arena, Margaret Court Arena, or John Cain Arena, each featuring Plexicushion hard courts and seating capacities ranging from around 7,500 up to about 14,800 spectators.

Prediction: Alina Korneeva to win in straight or tight three sets, with projected odds in the 1.65–1.75 range compared to 2.05–2.25 for Zhuoxuan Bai, as Korneeva’s aggressive returning and higher break-rate on outdoor hard courts give her the statistical edge. However, Bai’s solid recent form and strong movement could keep sets close, so game-handicap lines around -2.5 games for Korneeva are likely to be a key market to watch.

As of the latest data available within the past month, Zhuoxuan Bai and Alina Korneeva have not faced each other in any official WTA or Grand Slam main-draw match, so their head-to-head record stands at 0–0. This makes the matchup more reliant on recent hard-court form, rankings trajectory, and age-related improvement curves rather than direct historical comparisons.