Lucrezia Stefanini is slightly favored to win against Eva Vedder, mainly due to her higher WTA standing around 136 versus Vedder near 222 and a marginally stronger UTR profile, which indicates a higher recent performance level on tour. Early market prices have Stefanini in the 1.65–1.75 range and Vedder around 2.05–2.25, reflecting a moderate edge for the Italian with DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The match between Eva Vedder and Lucrezia Stefanini at the Australian Open (W) Qualifying is scheduled to start on 12 January 2026 at 11:00 PM UTC. This corresponds to 10:00 AM local time on 13 January 2026 in Melbourne, Australia, allowing European viewers a late-night slot and Australian fans a mid-morning session.

The Eva Vedder vs Lucrezia Stefanini clash will be played at Melbourne Park in Melbourne, Australia, the traditional Australian Open venue featuring Plexicushion hard courts. The complex includes main arenas like Rod Laver Arena and Margaret Court Arena plus numerous outer courts, all known for medium-paced hard surfaces and typically hot, dry summer conditions that can test players’ endurance.

Given Stefanini’s higher ranking, slightly better UTR rating and stronger results on hard courts over the past few months, she is projected as a narrow favorite in a match that could still be competitive. Odds in the 1.65–1.75 range for Stefanini and 2.05–2.25 for Vedder imply roughly a 55–60% win probability for the Italian, with bettors needing to weigh whether Vedder’s aggressive baseline game offers enough upset value on this Melbourne surface.

There is limited head-to-head data available for Eva Vedder vs Lucrezia Stefanini at WTA or Grand Slam qualifying level, and major databases do not list a completed tour-level meeting between them prior to this Australian Open qualifier. With no clear historical matchup trend, analysis for this encounter must rely more on current rankings, surface form, and recent performance rather than direct head-to-head results.