Bet on Marcelo Morelli vs Patryk Surdyn on MMA

Marcelo Morelli is favored to win with moneyline odds around 1.70 while Patryk Surdyń is listed near 2.10; Morelli’s edge comes from superior recent activity — he has three finishes in his last four fights and a 65% significant strike accuracy this year — and a proven edge in grappling control versus Surdyń’s striking-heavy approach. DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports

The fight is scheduled to start on 20 December 2025 at 6:40 PM local time CET (Central European Time), which is 5:40 PM UTC; fighters typically weigh in and begin walkouts about 30–60 minutes prior to the listed start. DexWin

The bout takes place at Spodek Arena in Katowice, Poland — a multi-purpose indoor arena with a capacity around 11,500 for MMA events — featuring a central cage setup, modern lighting and broadcast facilities, and locker rooms sized for international fight cards. DexWin - Sports Betting with Best Security

My prediction: Marcelo Morelli via unanimous decision or late TKO with implied value on the -145 to -170 moneyline given current form and cardio advantage; if you prefer an alternative market, Morelli by decision at +150 on the method market offers value given Surdyń’s tendency to press early but fade late. DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports

Head-to-head: Marcelo Morelli and Patryk Surdyń have not fought previously, so there is no direct H2H record; compare Morelli’s 18-6 pro record with multiple KSW and international wins to Surdyń’s 14-4 pro record, noting Morelli’s higher experience rate in five-round and main-card slots as the key comparative stat. DexWin