Bookmakers currently list Arkadiusz Wrzosek as a slight favorite over Szymon Bajor, largely due to his recent striking-heavy performances in KSW’s heavyweight division and higher-profile main event experience. Early market odds from major operators in January 2026 have been hovering around 1.70 for Wrzosek and 2.10 for Bajor, reflecting expectations that Wrzosek’s kickboxing background and KO power give him an edge with DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The fight between Arkadiusz Wrzosek and Szymon Bajor is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM local time on January 17, 2026, which corresponds to 8:00 PM UTC under Central European Time. Fans should check on the day of the event for any last-minute card or broadcast adjustments that could slightly shift the walkout time.

This heavyweight bout will take place at the Radom Sports Center in Radom, Poland, the confirmed venue for the KSW event on January 17, 2026. The arena is a modern indoor facility used for multi-sport events and concerts, offering a closed-environment atmosphere that typically amplifies crowd noise during major KSW main card fights.

Given Wrzosek’s momentum as a dangerous stand-up specialist and Bajor’s more grappling-oriented style, the stylistic matchup and recent form point toward a Wrzosek victory, especially if he can keep the fight on the feet. With Wrzosek around 1.70 and Bajor near 2.10 in current lines, the value side for risk-takers is Bajor as an underdog, but analytical models based on recent KSW results still project Wrzosek to win inside the distance more often than not.

As of mid-January 2026 there is no recorded previous head-to-head meeting between Arkadiusz Wrzosek and Szymon Bajor in official KSW events or other major promotions. This makes their January 17, 2026 clash in Radom their first professional encounter, adding an element of unpredictability to pre-fight analysis.