Alexandre Pantoja is favored to win against Joshua Van Bawi Thawng with odds around 1.60 compared to Joshua Van's 2.30, reflecting Pantoja's status as the reigning UFC flyweight champion and his strong recent form including multiple title defenses.

The match is scheduled to start at 4:30 AM UTC on December 7, 2025, which corresponds to 9:30 PM PST on December 6, 2025, aligning with the UFC 323 event timing in Las Vegas.

The fight will take place at the T-Mobile Arena located at 3780 Las Vegas Blvd South, Las Vegas, Nevada, with a seating capacity of approximately 20,000 and known for hosting major UFC events including pay-per-view cards.

Prediction favors Alexandre Pantoja to win with moneyline odds near 1.60, supported by his recent dominant performances and championship experience, while Joshua Van Bawi Thawng, with odds around 2.30, is considered a strong contender but less likely to upset the champion.

Alexandre Pantoja and Joshua Van Bawi Thawng have not faced each other before, so there is no head-to-head record between them; however, Pantoja holds a superior professional MMA record and championship experience compared to Van Bawi Thawng.