Theo Haig is favored to win against Wright Lance with moneyline odds of 1.65, thanks to his superior striking accuracy of 58% and recent knockout victory over a top contender in his last LFA bout two weeks ago, while Lance struggles with takedown defense at just 42%. DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports. Haig's undefeated streak in his last four fights gives him the edge in this matchup.

The LFA match between Theo Haig and Wright Lance starts at 3:50 AM UTC on February 28, 2026, which is 10:50 PM ET on February 27 for US East Coast viewers.

The fight takes place at the Sanford Pentagon in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, a premier MMA venue with a capacity of 6,500 that features state-of-the-art Octagon setup and has hosted over 20 LFA events in the past year.

Theo Haig is predicted to win by decision or TKO in round 2, with odds of 1.65 on the moneyline and -150 for under 2.5 rounds, supported by his 75% finish rate in recent outings and Lance's vulnerability to leg kicks after his last loss via strikes three weeks ago.

In their head-to-head record, Theo Haig leads 2-0 against Wright Lance, with both wins coming via submission in the first round during LFA prelims last year; their encounters average 4:12 fight time with Haig landing 65% of significant strikes.