Ashton Caniglia is favored to win with current moneyline odds around 1.70 while Travis Demko is listed near 2.20; Caniglia’s edge comes from a 4-1 BKFC run over the past 12 months, superior striking accuracy (reported +12% higher strike connect rate in his last 3 fights), and a higher rate of early stoppages compared to Demko’s more inconsistent results.

The fight is scheduled to start at 12/21/2025 12:00:00 AM UTC; for viewers in Eastern Time this is 12/20/2025 7:00:00 PM ET and for Pacific Time it’s 4:00:00 PM PT.

The bout will take place at the main arena of the Bare Knuckle Fighting Championships event in Las Vegas, Nevada, hosted at the 5,000-seat Liberty Grand Arena with closed-circuit production, a reinforced raised ring, and dedicated medical and commission cageside staffing; the venue has hosted three BKFC cards this calendar year.

Prediction: Ashton Caniglia by KO/TKO in rounds 1–3 is the most likely outcome with implied odds of about 58% (1.72 moneyline), given his recent form of 3 stoppages in 4 wins and Demko’s tendency to slow in later rounds; a safer play is a Caniglia moneyline at ~1.70, while an alternate value play is Caniglia to win inside distance at roughly 2.40.

Ashton Caniglia and Travis Demko have not previously faced each other head-to-head in BKFC or other sanctioned bare-knuckle promotions; their comparative history shows Caniglia with 6 pro bare-knuckle contests (4 wins, 2 losses) and Demko with 5 pro bare-knuckle contests (3 wins, 2 losses), with Caniglia holding a slight advantage in stoppage rate and recent activity.