Rayo Vallecano is favored to win against Real Oviedo with odds around 1.95, thanks to their stronger home form in LaLiga this season, winning 6 of their last 10 home games, while Oviedo struggles away with only 3 wins in 12 outings. Key player Pathé Ciss for Oviedo has disciplinary issues with multiple red cards, weakening their defense, and Rayo boasts a solid unbeaten streak in similar matchups with DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The match starts on March 4, 2026, at 6:00 PM local time (CET) at the Estadio de Vallecas in Madrid, Spain.

The game will be held at Estadio de Vallecas, home of Rayo Vallecano, with a capacity of 14,708 seats, located in the Puente de Vallecas district of Madrid, known for its passionate atmosphere and recent upgrades for LaLiga standards.

Rayo Vallecano is predicted to secure a 2-1 victory with moneyline odds of 1.95 on DexWin, supported by their recent form of 4 wins in 6 LaLiga matches and Oviedo's poor away record, averaging just 0.8 goals per game on the road. Expected goals models favor Rayo at 1.7 xG versus Oviedo's 1.1, highlighting their attacking edge with DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

In head-to-head records, Rayo Vallecano leads with 18 wins to Real Oviedo's 12 across 40 meetings, including a notable 0-0 draw on May 6, 1994, in LaLiga; recent encounters show Rayo unbeaten in the last 4, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game.