Bookmakers slightly favor St Mirren FC to win, with most early markets pricing them around 2.10–2.30 to win in 90 minutes, Livingston FC near 3.10–3.40, and the draw about 3.20–3.40. St Mirren’s recent Scottish League Cup triumph over Celtic and consistent top-six Premiership form make them marginal favorites over a Livingston side that has struggled for consistency, and you can compare these prices against DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The Scottish Cup match between Livingston FC and St Mirren FC is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM local time on 17 January 2026, which is 3:00 PM GMT in Scotland.

The tie will be played at Livingston’s home ground, the Tony Macaroni Arena in Livingston, West Lothian, Scotland, a modern all-seater stadium with a capacity of around 9,500 spectators. The artificial surface and typically tight pitch dimensions tend to produce a high-tempo game and can slightly favor the hosts who are more accustomed to the conditions.

Based on current form and squad quality, the most likely outcome is a narrow St Mirren FC win, with a predicted scoreline such as 1–0 or 2–1 and implied probabilities from early odds giving St Mirren around a 42–46% chance of victory, Livingston about 28–32%, and the draw near 28–30%. Value may lie in backing St Mirren to qualify from the tie or St Mirren draw-no-bet, while total goals markets around the 2.5 line look finely balanced given both sides’ generally conservative cup approach.

Recent head-to-head meetings show a very balanced rivalry, with both clubs trading wins and draws over the last few Premiership seasons and goal margins usually tight, often decided by a single goal. Across their last 10 competitive clashes, neither Livingston FC nor St Mirren FC has dominated clearly, reinforcing expectations of a close Scottish Cup encounter decided by fine margins such as set pieces or a single defensive lapse.