Bet on CD Tondela vs FC Arouca on Football

FC Arouca are favored to win based on recent Primeira Liga form and bookmakers’ lines showing Arouca shorter (favored) moneyline odds around 1.90–2.00 versus Tondela at ~3.50–4.00 and a draw near 3.30; Arouca’s superior away form and higher xG over the last six league matches explain the edge (DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports).

The match kicks off on 03/01/2026 at 15:30:00 UTC (3:30 PM UTC), which is 15:30 Western European Time (WET) / 16:30 local time in mainland Portugal during winter.

The fixture will be played at Estádio João Cardoso in Tondela — a compact 5,000-capacity stadium with a natural grass pitch and modern training facilities that favors home sides used to a lower-capacity, intense atmosphere.

Our prediction: FC Arouca to win or draw (double chance) with a recommended backing of Arouca moneyline at ~1.95 or a 0–2 handicap on Arouca; market-implied probability from the quoted odds suggests ~51% chance for Arouca, ~26% for Tondela and ~23% for a draw — stake sizing should reflect Arouca’s recent run and Tondela’s defensive lapses.

In head-to-head meetings over the last 10 competitive matches, FC Arouca lead with 6 wins to CD Tondela’s 2 wins and 2 draws; the average goals per game between them is about 2.7, with Arouca averaging 1.6 goals and Tondela 1.1 in those encounters.