FC Pêro Pinheiro Penafiel (FC Penafiel) are marginal favorites based on recent form and market movement, with typical moneyline odds around 1.95–2.10 while FC Paços de Ferreira sit near 3.20–3.60 for the 1/4/2026 fixture; Penafiel’s slight edge comes from a better run in the last five league matches and a stronger defence at home compared to Paços’ uneven away form (DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports).

The match kicks off on 1 April 2026 at 11:00 AM Western European Time (WET / UTC+0), which is 11:00 AM local time in Portugal.

The fixture will be played at Estádio 25 de Abril in Penafiel, Portugal — a compact stadium with mixed seating and an approximate capacity of 5,000–6,000 spectators and a natural grass pitch, known for an intimate atmosphere that favors home teams.

Our prediction: FC Penafiel to win or draw (double chance) with an expected scoreline 1–0 or 1–1; backing the home side with a moneyline around 2.00 or the double-chance at ~1.35 offers value given Penafiel’s recent defensive solidity and Paços’ lower conversion rate on the road. For a riskier play, consider Under 2.5 goals where odds commonly sit near 1.70 due to both sides’ conservative recent results.

In their last 10 meetings, FC Penafiel and FC Paços de Ferreira have traded wins with Paços slightly ahead historically, but the most recent five encounters show Penafiel with 2 wins, Paços with 2 wins and 1 draw; average goals per meeting in that span is roughly 2.1, indicating typically tight games between these teams.