Maccabi Tel Aviv is favored to win with odds around 1.75 due to their strong league position at 3rd place, recent 2-2 draw against Hapoel Petach Tikva showing resilience, and historical dominance with 24 State Cup titles, while Hapoel Tel Aviv sits lower after a recent 3-1 win but faces a tougher opponent with DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The match starts at 6:30 PM local time (Israel Standard Time, UTC+2) on January 14, 2026, equivalent to 4:30 PM UTC, in the State Cup competition.

The game will be held at Bloomfield Stadium in Tel Aviv, Israel, a historic venue with a capacity of approximately 29,400 seats, known for hosting major derbies and Maccabi Tel Aviv's home matches.

Maccabi Tel Aviv is predicted to secure a 2-1 victory with moneyline odds of 1.75 on DexWin, bolstered by their superior recent form including a draw at Bloomfield Stadium and key players like Márk Koszta in scoring form, while Hapoel Tel Aviv relies on talents like Omri Altman but struggles in big matches.

In head-to-head clashes, Maccabi Tel Aviv holds a dominant record with numerous wins over Hapoel Tel Aviv in recent seasons, including high-scoring victories; their last 10 meetings show Maccabi leading 6-2-2 with an average of 2.8 goals per game, emphasizing their derby superiority.