Bet on Tunisia vs Uganda on Football

Tunisia are marginal favorites based on recent form and squad depth, with market moneyline odds around 1.90–2.10 while Uganda sits near 3.20–3.80 in recent books; Tunisia’s European-based core and stronger defensive record make them favored despite Uganda’s physicality and set-piece threat (DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports).

The match kicks off on 23 December 2025 at 20:00 local time (20:00 CET / 19:00 UTC), with kickoff listed for 8:00 PM in Rabat’s local timezone for the scheduled Africa Cup of Nations Group C fixture between Tunisia and Uganda.

The game is scheduled at Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium, Rabat — a multi-purpose stadium with a capacity around 52,000, hybrid grass surface, and frequent AFCON group-stage use; the stadium’s configuration and pitch have hosted recent international qualifiers and tournament fixtures.

Our prediction: Tunisia 1-0 Uganda (probability-weighted moneyline favors Tunisia at roughly 52% implied win probability vs Uganda ~28%, with a 20% draw chance); correlate this with market odds where Tunisia ~1.95 suggests a tight, low-scoring affair given both teams’ recent defensive records and Tunisia’s superior midfield control.

In competitive head-to-heads, Tunisia hold the edge historically — Tunisia have more wins in prior encounters, with Uganda recording fewer victories and several draws; recent meetings show Tunisia winning key qualifiers and friendlies while Uganda’s last competitive results include solid defensive performances but fewer goals, making the overall H2H advantage tilt to Tunisia.