Borussia Dortmund are favored to win against FC St. Pauli, with most markets likely to price Dortmund around 1.30–1.40, St. Pauli above 7.00, and the draw near 5.00 based on current Bundesliga form where Dortmund sit near the top and St. Pauli are in the lower half of the table. Dortmund’s stronger squad, better recent points per game, and home advantage make them clear favorites with DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The match between Borussia Dortmund and FC St. Pauli is scheduled to start at 2:30 PM local time on 17 January 2026 in Germany, which corresponds to 1:30 PM UTC in winter. This kickoff time aligns with the standard Bundesliga Saturday afternoon slot.

The game will be played at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, the home stadium of Borussia Dortmund. Signal Iduna Park is one of Europe’s largest football venues, with a capacity of over 80,000 and a famous South Stand known as the ‘Yellow Wall.’

Given Dortmund’s superior league position, attacking depth, and strong home record at Signal Iduna Park, a logical prediction is a Dortmund win, for example a 2–0 or 3–1 scoreline. From an odds perspective, value may lie in Dortmund -1 handicap around 1.80–2.00 or Dortmund to win with over 2.5 total goals around 1.70–1.85, reflecting their tendency to dominate weaker opposition at home.

Recent meetings between Borussia Dortmund and FC St. Pauli include a high-scoring 3–3 draw in Hamburg on 23 August 2025 in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season, showing St. Pauli can trouble Dortmund defensively but struggle to close games out. Historically, Dortmund have more wins overall in this matchup, especially at home, while St. Pauli’s positive results have mostly come in home fixtures or cup upsets.