Independiente Medellín are slightly favored to win this Primera A clash, with most early markets pricing them around 2.25 to win, Deportivo Pasto near 3.10, and the draw about 3.00. Medellín’s recent superiority in direct meetings and stronger overall squad depth give them the edge with DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The match between Deportivo Pasto and Independiente Medellín is scheduled to start on January 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM local time in Colombia, which corresponds to 9:00 PM COT and approximately 2:00 AM UTC on January 18, 2026.

Deportivo Pasto will host Independiente Medellín at Estadio Departamental Libertad in Pasto, Colombia, a high-altitude venue that holds around 20,000 spectators and often provides a noticeable home advantage due to thinner air. The stadium’s tight pitch and passionate local crowd typically favor Pasto’s compact, defensively organized style.

Given Independiente Medellín’s more consistent attacking form and their recent head-to-head dominance, a narrow away win is the most likely outcome, with a 1–0 or 2–1 scoreline favored by odds around 2.25 for Medellín, 3.10 for Pasto and 3.00 for the draw. Value bettors may also look at both-teams-to-score markets, which are often priced near 1.90 when these sides meet, reflecting Pasto’s strong home record versus Medellín’s attacking quality.

In the last five league meetings, Independiente Medellín have won three, Deportivo Pasto have won one, and there has been one draw, including Medellín’s 2–1 away win on August 18, 2025 and 1–0 home win on March 3, 2025, while Pasto edged a 1–0 home victory on September 8, 2024. Overall, recent head-to-head results slightly favor Medellín, who have taken 9 points from the last 15 available against Pasto.