Pakistan is favored to win the third ODI scheduled for November 16, 2025, given their home advantage at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium and recent form after defeating South Africa 2-1 in a home series. However, Sri Lanka remains competitive as the fourth-ranked ODI team and has dominated recent encounters against Pakistan, including a home series victory earlier in 2025.

The match starts at 3:00 PM IST (Indian Standard Time) on November 16, 2025, with the toss scheduled for 2:30 PM IST. This corresponds to 9:30 AM UTC or 4:00 AM EST for international viewers.

The venue is Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium in Rawalpindi, Pakistan. The ground is traditionally batting-friendly with early assistance to pacers before the pitch flattens out. Recent matches at this venue have seen scores above 280 become common, and the weather forecast indicates clear skies with mild evening dew, ensuring full 50-over play.

Pakistan starts as slight favorites due to home conditions and recent momentum, though specific betting odds from major sportsbooks are not available in current reports. Sri Lanka's balanced lineup featuring Charith Asalanka and the spin attack of Wanindu Hasaranga could pose a significant challenge, particularly if early wickets fall. The match outcome will likely depend on how Pakistan's top order led by Babar Azam and Mohammad Rizwan performs against Sri Lanka's bowling attack.

Historically in ODIs, Pakistan holds a significant edge with 92 wins from 156 matches against Sri Lanka's 59 victories. However, Sri Lanka has dominated in recent encounters, including a home series win earlier in 2025, suggesting the momentum has shifted in their favor despite Pakistan's overall historical advantage.