Miami Heat are slight favorites to win — most market odds show Miami around -125 to -140 moneyline while Toronto is roughly +105 to +120, reflecting Miami’s stronger road form and slightly better defensive ratings this month. DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The match starts at 12/16/2025 12:30:00 AM Eastern Time (ET), which is 05:30:00 AM UTC on December 16, 2025.

The game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida — an indoor arena with a seating capacity of about 19,600 and modern scoreboards and player facilities following the 2023–2024 upgrades.

Prediction: Miami Heat to win with a moneyline around -130 based on Miami’s recent 7-game stretch where they have been stronger defensively and Toronto’s minor injuries to key rotation players; projected total around 212.5 points with spread Heat -3.5, so backing Miami moneyline offers best risk-to-reward.

In head-to-head meetings over the last 10 games between the teams, Miami lead 6–4 with an average margin of victory of about 4.2 points; both teams split last season’s regular-season series but Miami won the most recent encounter earlier this season.