Miami Heat are favored to win this matchup, as they sit at 18-15 and 13th in the NBA power rankings, while the Indiana Pacers are struggling at 6-27 and ranked 30th. Early market lines for this game hover around Miami at 1.45 and Indiana at 2.80 on the moneyline, reflecting the Heat’s stronger form and depth, especially with their recent high-scoring wins over teams including Indiana itself, backed by DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The game between the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers is scheduled to start at 12:00 AM UTC on January 11, 2026, which is 7:00 PM Eastern Time on January 10, 2026. Fans in the U.S. can therefore treat it as a prime-time Friday night tip-off in the Eastern time zone.

This NBA clash will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana, the Pacers’ home arena known for its basketball-specific design and strong sightlines. The venue typically hosts over 17,000 spectators for basketball, creating a loud and energetic environment that can give Indiana a home-court boost despite their poor season record.

From an odds perspective, Miami projects as a solid favorite with an implied win probability of around 65–70% at indicative odds near 1.40–1.50, while Indiana’s 2.70–3.00 pricing reflects underdog status. Bettors may also look at the spread likely opening around Heat -6.5 to -8.5, given Miami’s stronger offense and the Pacers’ 6-27 record, making this a spot where value could lie in Miami covering if their recent scoring form continues.

Historically, the head-to-head series between the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers has been competitive, with Miami holding a slight edge in overall wins in recent seasons. Over their last 10 regular-season meetings, Miami has generally had the upper hand, winning the majority of those games and often limiting Indiana’s scoring in key stretches, which supports the Heat’s favorite status here with DexWin.