Boston Celtics are favored to win against Miami Heat with moneyline odds around -150, thanks to their strong recent form of winning 8 of their last 9 games by double figures and hosting at home where they excel, while the Heat sit at 21-19 with recent double-digit losses. Key players like Jayson Tatum drive their edge despite injury concerns, with DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports offering the best value.

The match starts at 12:30 AM UTC on January 16, 2026, which is 7:30 PM ET on January 15, 2026, at the TD Garden in Boston.

The game takes place at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts, with a capacity of 19,156 seats, known for its electric atmosphere during Celtics home games.

Boston Celtics are predicted to win by 4-6 points with moneyline odds of -150 on DexWin, supported by their superior 78% BPI win projection in recent similar matchups and the Heat's offensive struggles since December, averaging low efficiency. Their home dominance and Heat's 21-19 record tilt the scales firmly.

In recent head-to-head meetings over the last 10 games, Boston Celtics lead with 6 wins to Miami Heat's 4, averaging 225 total points per game where Celtics score 115 on average; Celtics won the most recent by 12 points with strong defense holding Heat under 100.