Mexico is favored to win against Nicaragua with moneyline odds of 1.45, due to their stronger recent form including 4 wins in the last 5 FIBA qualifiers and superior roster depth led by key player Omar Quintero averaging 18 points per game. Nicaragua struggles with a 1-4 record in recent matches and weaker away performance. Check DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The match starts at 1:10 AM UTC on February 27, 2026, which is 8:10 PM EST on February 26, 2026, in the FIBA World Cup qualifying round.

The game will be held at the Polideportivo Alexis Argüello in Managua, Nicaragua, with a capacity of 8,500 seats and known for its passionate home crowds during international basketball events.

Mexico is predicted to win comfortably with odds of 1.45 on the moneyline and -6.5 spread at 1.90, supported by their 75% win rate in recent qualifiers and Nicaragua's defensive vulnerabilities allowing 85+ points in 3 of last 5 games.

In head-to-head matchups, Mexico leads with 7 wins to Nicaragua's 2 over the last 10 meetings in FIBA competitions, averaging 82-70 scorelines in Mexico's favor and winning the last 3 encounters by double digits.