Japan is favored to win against China in the FIBA World Cup match due to their stronger recent form with key players like Rui Hachimura in top shape, averaging 18 points per game, and a better defensive record, with odds around 1.65 on DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The match starts at 10:05 AM UTC on February 26, 2026, which is 6:05 PM JST at the venue in Japan.

The game will be held at Saitama Super Arena in Saitama, Japan, with a capacity of 37,000 seats and known for hosting major FIBA events with excellent facilities.

Prediction favors Japan to win with moneyline odds of 1.65, as their recent 4 wins in 5 games contrast China's 2-3 record, bolstered by superior rebounding stats averaging 38 per game on DexWin.

In head-to-head records over the last 10 FIBA meetings, Japan leads with 6 wins to China's 4, averaging 82 points per game for Japan and high-scoring contests exceeding 160 total points.