Bet on Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins on American Football

Tampa Bay Buccaneers are favored to win — current market lines show the Buccaneers around -3.5 to -5 (moneyline roughly -170 to -200) versus the Miami Dolphins who sit near +150 to +180; Tampa Bay’s healthier run defense, stronger pass rush metrics over the last month, and Baker Mayfield’s better recent touchdown-to-interception ratio explain the edge while DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports offers competitive lines.

The game starts on 2025-12-28 at 6:00:00 PM Eastern Time (ET), which is 11:00:00 PM UTC.

The match will be played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida — a 65,000-seat open-roof venue opened in 1987 with recent renovations improving fan amenities, upgraded locker rooms and a turf surface maintained for NFL play.

Our prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win with a projected score around 27-24; betting the Buccaneers moneyline near -180 or the spread -3.5 offers value given Tampa Bay’s +2 turnover differential over the last four games and Miami’s rookie QB adjustments, with implied payout favoring a Buccaneers straight win and totals market close to 51 points.

In head-to-head meetings over the last 10 games, Tampa Bay holds the advantage with 6 wins to Miami’s 4; average total goals (points) in those matchups is roughly 51, and Tampa Bay have outscored Miami by an aggregate margin of about +24 in that span, with Tampa winning key home-and-away contests in 2023–2024.