Bet on Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots on American Football

New England Patriots are favored to win; early market lines show New England as favorites with moneyline around -250 to -350 while Miami Dolphins are underdogs near +200 to +300, reflecting New England’s 12-3 form versus Miami’s rebuilding 6-9 campaign and New England’s better recent defensive metrics and turnover differential.

The match starts on January 4, 2026 at 6:00:00 PM Eastern Time (ET), which is 3:00:00 PM Pacific Time (PT) and 11:00:00 PM UTC.

The game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida — a 65,000-seat venue with a grass field, modern press facilities, and recent upgrades to suites and video boards; it serves as the Dolphins’ home and typically favors Miami in crowd noise and humidity.

Prediction: New England Patriots to win with a projected moneyline in-market around -300 and an implied win probability near 75%; expect a low-to-moderate scoring game (total ~41-44) given New England’s strong run defense and Miami’s inconsistent quarterback play — bettors seeking value could consider New England -7.5 spread or an over/under fade if weather is wet. DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

Head-to-head since 2018: New England hold the edge with multiple wins in the series (Patriots winners in the 2023 and 2024 meetings, Dolphins notable upset wins in 2021), overall recent H2H reads as Patriots 6 wins to Dolphins 3 wins across the last 9 meetings, with average total goals/points trending around 46 points per game in their last five matchups.