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Toronto Raptors: Betting on a Rebuilding Season with Scottie Barnes Leading the Way


The Toronto Raptors have had their fair share of highs and lows over the past few years, but the 2025 season has been one of transition and rebuilding. Despite flashes of brilliance, the Raptors currently sit at the 11th seed in the Eastern Conference, making a playoff push highly unlikely. While they may not be in title contention, they remain a team to watch in the betting markets, particularly for individual player performances, spread betting, and over/under totals.


For bettors, this type of season presents unique opportunities. Toronto may not be winning games at a high rate, but they can still cover spreads, play spoiler to contending teams, and provide profitable player prop bets—especially when it comes to their young superstar, Scottie Barnes.


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Scottie Barnes: The Franchise Player Toronto is Building Around


With the departure of veteran stars in recent years, Scottie Barnes has emerged as the clear centerpiece of the Raptors’ future. The versatile forward has taken on a larger offensive role this season, while continuing to be a force on defense and a leader on the floor.


From a betting perspective, Barnes presents some of the most consistent value for prop bets:


  • Points & Rebounds Props: As the team’s primary scorer and rebounder, Barnes regularly puts up 20+ points and 8+ rebounds per game, making him a strong bet in over markets for these categories.
  • Assist Props: With Toronto lacking a true floor general, Barnes has stepped up as a playmaker, often flirting with triple-doubles, making assists and total points/rebounds/assists (PRA) props profitable bets.
  • Live Betting: Barnes has shown a knack for strong second-half performances, particularly in games where the Raptors fall behind early. Betting on his second-half scoring totals can be an effective strategy.

Despite his individual brilliance, Barnes alone can’t carry the Raptors into the playoffs. However, bettors can still find value in Raptors’ games by understanding key trends.


Toronto’s Betting Trends: Finding Value in a Tough Season


The Raptors’ record doesn’t tell the whole story. Even though they aren’t a top team in the East, their games often present profitable betting angles.


1. Point Spread Bets: Covering More Than Winning


Toronto may not be racking up wins, but they frequently keep games close, covering the spread even when they lose. As an underdog, they’ve been a solid pick against the spread (ATS) in matchups against stronger teams who may underestimate them.


  • Betting Strategy: The Raptors tend to cover large spreads against elite teams, making them a valuable underdog pick in these matchups.

2. Over/Under Totals: The Pace Factor


With Barnes leading the charge, the Raptors play at a moderate tempo, but their defensive inconsistencies often lead to high-scoring games. While Toronto lacks elite shooting, their pace and defensive struggles can create good opportunities for over bets in the right matchups.


  • Betting Strategy: Look for over bets in games against fast-paced teams, where Toronto’s defense could lead to higher-scoring affairs.

3. Home vs. Away Performance: Betting at Scotiabank Arena


Toronto has been notoriously inconsistent on the road, but at Scotiabank Arena, they tend to perform better. Their home crowd provides energy, helping them stay competitive in close matchups.


  • Betting Strategy: The Raptors are often a stronger bet at home, particularly when facing teams on back-to-back games or long road trips.

Can Toronto Play Spoiler? Late-Season Betting Insights


Even if the playoffs are out of reach, the Raptors are still a team that contenders can’t afford to overlook. Late in the season, Toronto has the potential to upset playoff-bound teams, creating strong betting opportunities.


  • Must-Win Games for Opponents: When playoff teams face Toronto late in the season, sportsbooks often set inflated point spreads, assuming a one-sided matchup. However, the Raptors’ ability to keep games competitive makes them a solid pick to cover large spreads.
  • Underdog Moneyline Bets: In certain matchups, especially against teams resting players before the playoffs, the Raptors may have higher-than-usual upset potential. Taking a low-risk, high-reward moneyline bet on Toronto can be a smart play.

Key Role Players: Who Else to Watch?


While Scottie Barnes is the face of the team, Toronto’s supporting cast plays an essential role in their betting value. Players like RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, and Jakob Poeltl have had standout performances, making their individual props worth considering.


  • RJ Barrett: As a secondary scorer, Barrett’s points total is worth watching, especially in matchups where he has a favorable size advantage.
  • Jakob Poeltl: The Raptors’ starting center provides consistent rebounding numbers, making his rebounds prop bets valuable in games against smaller teams.