13 Mar 2026 | 07:30 PM
Borussia Monchengladbach VS FC St. Pauli
Insufficient data to identify a +EV edge. Search results lack current injury reports for St. Pauli/Mönchengladbach, sharp money flow, xG metrics, and recent form beyond early March. The match is 7 days away; lineup news and line movement data are unavailable. Cannot reliably estimate true win probability versus implied odds.
14 Mar 2026 | 02:30 PM
Borussia Dortmund VS FC Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund sit second in the Bundesliga with 52 points from 24 matches (15W-7D-2L, +26 GD), far superior to FC Augsburg's 31 points (9W-4D-11L, -11 GD). Dortmund have strong recent form, winning 2-1 at Wolfsburg and beating Heidenheim, while Augsburg recently won 2-0 at Cologne and 3-2 at Wolfsburg but struggle away. Home advantage at Signal Iduna Park and better overall metrics indicate Dortmund has clear edge over implied odds.
14 Mar 2026 | 02:30 PM
Eintracht Frankfurt VS 1. FC Heidenheim
Frankfurt sits 6th in the Bundesliga with 34 points and a +1 goal differential, while Heidenheim is last with 14 points and -31 goal differential. Frankfurt's recent 2-0 win over Freiburg demonstrates solid form, and the massive gap in quality and league position creates a clear edge. At 1.63 odds, the implied probability (~61%) aligns conservatively with Frankfurt's dominance over a struggling Heidenheim side.
14 Mar 2026 | 02:30 PM
Bayer 04 Leverkusen VS FC Bayern Munchen
Bayern Munich leads the Bundesliga with 20-3-1 record and +65 GD, far ahead of Leverkusen's 13-4-7 and +16 GD. Leverkusen faces a tough schedule including this match after playing Freiburg and Arsenal in Champions League, contributing to their #18 European form ranking. Odds at 1.70 imply ~58.8% win probability, but Bayern's dominance suggests true odds closer to 1.50 for positive EV. No major injuries reported for Bayern, while Leverkusen has Amiri out several weeks.
14 Mar 2026 | 05:30 PM
Hamburger SV VS 1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln sits slightly above Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga table (24 points vs 26 after 24 games) with a comparable goal difference (-8), but Köln's away form and recent resilience (e.g., Grabara's solid performance in a 1-0 win over Wolfsburg) suggest competitiveness. Hamburger SV has struggled lately, losing 0-1 to Leverkusen on March 4 with poor possession (36.9%) and shots on goal (3 vs 4). The odds undervalue Köln at 3.63 (implied ~27.5% probability), creating value given their mid-table parity and HSV's home vulnerabilities.
14 Mar 2026 | 02:30 PM
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim VS VfL Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim sits 3rd with 49 points (15-4-6, +20 GD) while Wolfsburg is last with 20 points (5-5-15, -21 GD), showing massive form disparity. Hoffenheim's strong home record and superior metrics indicate ~65% true win probability vs ~48% implied by -105 odds. No recent injuries noted and history favors the hosts decisively.
15 Mar 2026 | 02:30 PM
Werder Bremen VS FSV Mainz 05
Mainz goalkeeper Daniel Batz faces a Werder Bremen side that has won only once in their last 14 games, indicating poor form with 5W-7D-12L and -19 GD. Mainz holds a slightly better standing (5W-9D-11L, 24 pts vs Bremen's 22 pts) and recent draw vs Stuttgart shows resilience. Key midfielder Nadiem Amiri is out with injury, but defender Stefan Bell may return, and odds undervalue Mainz at 3.08 given Bremen's struggles.
15 Mar 2026 | 04:30 PM
SC Freiburg VS 1. FC Union Berlin
SC Freiburg sits at 9-7-9 with 34 points, slightly ahead of Union Berlin's 7-7-10 with 28 points after 24 games, giving them a stronger overall standing and home advantage. Freiburg's recent 3-3 draw against top team Leverkusen shows resilience and scoring ability, while Union Berlin has struggled with losses like 1-0 to Leverkusen. No major injuries reported in latest data, and home form supports value on Freiburg at 2.38 odds where implied probability (42%) undervalues their true win chance around 48%.
15 Mar 2026 | 06:30 PM
VfB Stuttgart VS RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart and RB Leipzig are tied on 47 points after 25 matches, but Stuttgart's superior +16 goal difference vs Leipzig's +14 and exceptional recent form (29 points from 14 matches, +1.00 adj. goal differential, prolific attack led by Undav) indicate a true win probability exceeding the 41.5% implied by 2.41 odds. Home advantage at Stuttgart further tilts the edge, with no major injuries reported for key players and Leipzig lacking standout recent metrics. No clear sharp money or reverse line movement data available, but form and xG trends suggest value on Stuttgart.