20 Mar 2026 | 08:00 PM
AFC Bournemouth VS Manchester United
Manchester United are favored at 2.41 odds with implied probability of ~41.5%, supported by their stronger squad depth and key players like Bruno Fernandes in top FPL rankings. Bournemouth's recent form shows Tavernier assisting but overall inconsistency, with no clear sharp money or injury edges favoring the Cherries. Head-to-head and away splits for Bournemouth are not dominant, making United the value bet despite public potentially leaning draw at 3.89.
21 Mar 2026 | 12:30 PM
Brighton & Hove Albion VS Liverpool FC
Liverpool are favored due to their strong form, favorable fixtures including upcoming home games, and key players like Mohamed Salah and Virgil van Dijk performing well in FPL rankings and recent contributions. Brighton have drawn 10 of 29 league matches and face injury concerns with Evan Ferguson out after ankle surgery, weakening their attack. No clear sharp money data available, but Liverpool's superior squad depth and metrics indicate value at 2.29 odds over the implied ~43.7% probability.
21 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Fulham FC VS Burnley FC
Fulham FC, as the home team in the Premier League, holds a significant advantage over Burnley FC, who are likely struggling given their high odds of 6.20 implying underdog status. No contradictory injury, form, or metrics data in recent reports suggests otherwise, supporting Fulham's implied ~61% win probability as undervalued. Historical home splits and lack of sharp money indicators against them reinforce this edge.
21 Mar 2026 | 05:30 PM
Everton FC VS Chelsea FC
Chelsea holds a superior league position (13-9-8, 48 pts) compared to Everton (12-7-11, 43 pts), with a better goal differential (+18 vs -1). Recent form shows Chelsea competitive despite a loss to Newcastle, while Everton lost 0-2 to Arsenal. Current odds imply ~47% win probability for Chelsea (2.11), but their overall quality and home/away splits suggest true probability exceeds 50%, creating +EV.
21 Mar 2026 | 08:00 PM
Leeds United VS Brentford FC
Brentford sits higher in the standings at 7th with 44 points and +4 goal differential, while Leeds is 15th with 31 points and struggling in the relegation battle despite decent recent form and xG luck. Opta's supercomputer gives Leeds only a 7.8% relegation risk but implies Brentford's stronger position for a positive result. No clear sharp money or injury edges noted, but Brentford's mid-table security and Tottenham's prior win over them suggest value on the away side at these odds.
22 Mar 2026 | 12:00 PM
Newcastle United VS Sunderland
Newcastle United, hosting Sunderland, hold a superior league position (42 pts vs 40 pts) and just won 1-0 at Chelsea, showcasing strong recent form. Sunderland's form has dipped recently, with a slump dropping them in standings and tough away fixture at Newcastle. Home advantage at St. James’ Park combined with better overall record provides a mathematical edge over the implied ~58% win probability from 1.73 odds.
22 Mar 2026 | 02:15 PM
Aston Villa VS West Ham United
Aston Villa holds home advantage at Villa Park with odds of 1.97 implying ~50.8% win probability, while West Ham sits near the relegation zone with only 3 wins from 16 games and a -20 goal difference. Recent form shows West Ham struggling with 11 losses, contrasting Villa's competitive mid-table position and strong away scoring trends in similar matchups. No recent injuries reported and advanced metrics favor the home side's predictive edge over West Ham's poor underlying performance.
22 Mar 2026 | 02:15 PM
Tottenham Hotspur VS Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest shows value as a slight underdog at home against Tottenham, with current odds implying about 34% win probability, but their recent form and low-scoring home games (0.93 xG average) suggest competitiveness. Tottenham faces a tough fixture post-European loss, while Forest's three draws in last six league games indicate resilience. No recent injuries or sharp money shifts noted, and head-to-head favors Forest at City Ground. Advanced metrics point to a close match where Forest's home edge creates +EV.