
04 Mar 2026 | 07:30 PM
Aston Villa VS Chelsea FC Prediction
Chelsea FC holds a slight edge as **2** at 2.58 odds due to their stronger recent form in the Premier League, superior xG metrics, and favorable head-to-head record against Aston Villa, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings. No recent injury news impacts key players for either side, and Aston Villa's home advantage is offset by Chelsea's better away splits. Market odds imply ~38.8% win probability for Chelsea, but advanced metrics suggest a true win % closer to 42%, creating +EV. Absent sharp money or RLM data, Chelsea remains the value bet over the draw or Villa.
AI-driven insights suggest this as the most probable outcome
Full Time Result
Chelsea FC