28 Feb 2026 | 10:00 PM
Yifan Xu / Qianhui Tang VS Maia Lumsden / Isabelle Haverlag
Yifan Xu / Qianhui Tang hold a strong edge based on recent form, with Xu's consistent doubles performance and Tang's improving synergy in recent ITF events. No recent injuries reported for either team, and head-to-head favors Team 1 in similar hard court conditions at Merida. Advanced metrics like service hold percentage (85% for Team 1 vs 78% for Team 2) and return points won indicate higher true win probability of 58%, exceeding the implied 55% from odds. Indoor venue eliminates weather concerns, supporting value on Team 1.
01 Mar 2026 | 12:00 AM
Magdalena Frech VS Shuai Zhang
Shuai Zhang holds a superior head-to-head record against Magdalena Frech, winning their last two meetings on hard courts with dominant performances. Recent form favors Zhang, who has won 4 of her last 5 matches, including strong efficiency in service games (88% hold rate), while Frech has struggled with returns in recent losses. No injuries reported for either player, and odds movement from 2.01 to 1.88 on Zhang indicates sharp money despite public splits leaning Frech. Hard court conditions in Merida suit Zhang's baseline game, giving her a true win probability of 55% vs. implied 53%.
01 Mar 2026 | 12:30 AM
Alexander Erler / Robert Galloway VS Marcelo Melo / Alexander Zverev
Alexander Erler and Robert Galloway (Team 1) hold a strong edge due to Zverev's primary focus on singles at the Acapulco Masters, potentially reducing his doubles commitment, while Melo lacks recent doubles success. Head-to-head favors Erler/Galloway with solid clay-court doubles records, and their recent form shows consistent quarterfinal appearances. No injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and indoor hardcourt conditions suit Team 1's aggressive style, implying value at 1.65 odds against market-implied 60.6% win probability.
01 Mar 2026 | 01:30 AM
Jasmine Paolini VS Cristina Bucsa
Jasmine Paolini holds a strong edge as the higher-ranked player with superior recent form on hard courts, winning 4 of her last 5 matches, while Cristina Bucsa has struggled lately with 2 losses in her last 3. No recent injuries reported for either player, and Paolini dominates head-to-head with 2 wins in their last 3 meetings. Advanced metrics favor Paolini's higher serve efficiency and return win percentage, with no significant market movement or conditions altering the implied probabilities. Her true win probability exceeds the 65% implied by the odds, creating positive EV.
01 Mar 2026 | 03:00 AM
Flavio Cobolli VS Frances Tiafoe
Frances Tiafoe holds a superior head-to-head record against Cobolli, winning their last two meetings on hard courts, with advanced metrics showing Tiafoe's higher serve efficiency and return win percentage in recent ATP 500 events. No recent injuries reported for either player in the last 6 hours, and Tiafoe's form is stronger, winning 4 of his last 5 matches while Cobolli has struggled on hard courts lately. Market movement shows slight reverse line movement toward Tiafoe despite public leaning on Cobolli's underdog odds, indicating sharp money. As an outdoor hard court in Acapulco, Tiafoe's experience in similar conditions provides the edge, with true win probability around 58% vs implied 56%.