28 Feb 2026 | 09:00 PM
Francisco Cerundolo VS Yannick Hanfmann
Cerundolo dominates with superior recent form, winning 4 of his last 5 clay matches including strong performances in Santiago, while Hanfmann has struggled on clay with only 1 win in his last 5. Head-to-head favors Cerundolo 2-0, both in straight sets on clay. No recent injuries reported for either, and Santiago's clay conditions suit Cerundolo's baseline game perfectly. Market odds imply 74.6% win probability for Cerundolo, aligning with his estimated true win probability of 78% based on advanced metrics like serve hold percentage and return points won.
28 Feb 2026 | 10:30 PM
Sebastian Baez VS Luciano Darderi
Sebastian Baez is currently ranked higher in ATP rankings and has shown superior recent form on clay courts, which is typical for Santiago tournaments. Baez has been consistently winning matches against players in Darderi's range and maintains better head-to-head performance. The odds at 2.43 represent an undervalued opportunity given Baez's technical advantages and recent momentum. Sharp money movement indicates informed bettors backing Baez despite public preference for the lower odds on Darderi.