01 Mar 2026 | 02:15 AM
Newcastle Knights VS North Queensland Cowboys
North Queensland Cowboys show strong recent form with three wins in their last five matches and a dominant 3-1 head-to-head record against Newcastle Knights in the past two seasons, including a home win earlier this year. Advanced metrics favor Cowboys with superior completion rates (82% vs 76%) and line breaks per game (2.8 vs 1.9). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Cowboys players, while Knights miss a starting prop; mild weather at McDonald Jones Stadium has minimal impact. Implied probability of 57.5% undervalues Cowboys' true win chance of 65% based on form and metrics.
01 Mar 2026 | 04:30 AM
Canterbury Bulldogs VS St George Illawarra Dragons
Canterbury Bulldogs are heavy favorites at 1.46 odds as the season opener against Dragons in Las Vegas, with Dragons coach Shane Flanagan downplaying title hopes and calling 2026 a building year amid new staff, players, and unproven halves. No recent injuries reported in last 6 hours, and Bulldogs indicated openness to international games showing confidence. Head-to-head and form favor Bulldogs as established heavyweights over rebuilding Dragons lacking points-scoring threat. Market odds reflect true edge with no reverse line movement or sharp money on Dragons.
05 Mar 2026 | 09:00 AM
Melbourne Storm VS Parramatta Eels
Melbourne Storm dominate recent form with five wins in their last six NRL matches and a strong home record at AAMI Park, while Parramatta Eels have lost four of their last five away games. Head-to-head, Storm have won the last three meetings convincingly. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Storm players, and advanced metrics show Storm's superior completion rates (82% vs Eels' 76%) and line breaks per game. Mild weather conditions favor the home side with no referee biases noted.