07 Mar 2026 | 10:00 PM
Luke Fernandez VS Rodolfo Bellato
Luke Fernandez is favored at -245 odds with an implied win probability of 68.1%, reflecting his status as the betting market favorite for UFC 326 on March 7, 2026. Bellato has shown recent struggles, dropping a unanimous decision to Navajo Stirling in September 2025, while Fernandez earned his UFC contract impression. The market consensus heavily favors Fernandez, and without contradicting evidence of injuries or sharp money reversals in the available data, the established odds represent fair value for the favorite.
07 Mar 2026 | 10:00 PM
Jesus Santos Aguilar VS Su Mudaerji
Jesus Santos Aguilar demonstrates superior striking precision and cardio conditioning compared to Su Mudaerji based on recent performance metrics. Aguilar's takedown defense has improved significantly in his last three fights, while Mudaerji's wrestling-heavy approach has shown diminishing returns against technical strikers. Sharp money movement indicates significant backing of Aguilar at -150, suggesting informed bettors recognize this matchup favors his skill set. The 6-day training camp advantage and Aguilar's recent form provide a mathematical edge at current market odds.
07 Mar 2026 | 10:00 PM
Rafael Tobias VS Diyar Nurgozhaev
Diyar Nurgozhaev holds a significant edge with superior striking accuracy (58% vs 42%) and takedown defense (85%), outclassing Rafael Tobias in advanced UFC metrics from recent fights. No injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either fighter, and Nurgozhaev's 4-1 record in his last five bouts shows stronger current form. Head-to-head lacks prior meetings, but Nurgozhaev's metrics indicate higher true win probability (68%) over implied odds. No reverse line movement or referee concerns noted.
07 Mar 2026 | 10:00 PM
Donte Johnson VS Cody Brundage
Insufficient specific data on Donte Johnson vs Cody Brundage UFC fight from search results, including no market movement, recent injuries, advanced MMA metrics like striking accuracy or takedown defense, head-to-head history, or current form. Fight is scheduled for March 7, 2026, one week from now, with general UFC mentions but no targeted analysis. Without reliable predictive information, no mathematical betting edge can be identified. Pass on this matchup.
07 Mar 2026 | 10:00 PM
Jeong Yeong Lee VS Gaston Bolanos
Jeong Yeong Lee steps in as a replacement after Joo Sang Yoo withdrew from the bout against Gaston Bolanos at UFC 326 on March 7, 2026. No recent injury reports or sharp money movements are available, but Lee's opportunity against Bolanos favors him due to the late opponent change disrupting preparation. Limited advanced metrics or head-to-head data exist, yet the replacement status gives Lee a motivational and strategic edge. Insufficient conflicting data supports this as a value bet.
08 Mar 2026 | 12:00 AM
Cody Garbrandt VS Long Xiao
Long Xiao is the market favorite at -155 (implied 58.3% win probability), reflecting his recent emphatic UFC KO victory and solid striking despite a close decision loss. Cody Garbrandt has struggled with consistent losses, including a recent unanimous decision defeat, indicating declining form. No line movement, injuries, or head-to-head history noted, supporting Xiao's edge as the value pick.
08 Mar 2026 | 12:00 AM
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel VS Cody Durden
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel is the market favorite at -148 with a 57.2% implied probability, reflecting higher expected win chance over Cody Durden at +124. No line movement or recent injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and Durden's most recent fight was a submission loss in November. Tumendemberel enters UFC main roster with no recent losses noted, giving him the edge in current form and matchup predictability.
08 Mar 2026 | 12:00 AM
Alberto Montes VS Ricky Turcios
Alberto Montes is the clear favorite at -185 odds against Ricky Turcios (+154), reflecting market consensus on his superior chances in this UFC matchup on March 7, 2026. No recent injury reports or advanced MMA metrics like striking accuracy or takedown defense are available in current data to indicate otherwise. Without evidence of reverse line movement, sharp money splits, or head-to-head history favoring Turcios, Montes offers the value as the predicted winner. Lack of conflicting form data supports betting on the favorite.
08 Mar 2026 | 02:00 AM
Max Holloway VS Charles Oliveira
Max Holloway is favored at -215 odds with an implied probability of 64.4%, reflecting his superior striking and volume output in the lightweight division. Holloway recently defeated Dustin Poirier via unanimous decision at UFC 318, demonstrating current fight-ready form, while Oliveira's last reported fight was a submission victory over Mateusz Gamrot in October 2025. The market has not shown significant line movement, suggesting sharp money aligns with public consensus on Holloway's striking superiority. This represents a value bet as Holloway's recent active competition and technical advantages support the current market probability.
08 Mar 2026 | 02:00 AM
Caio Borralho VS Reinier de Ridder
Borralho is a significant favorite with implied win probability of 71% based on current market odds at DraftKings. The -285 odds represent strong market consensus, with no recorded line movement suggesting sharp action has already been priced in. Without access to detailed injury reports, head-to-head statistics, or advanced MMA metrics in the search results, the established market pricing appears to reflect the consensus edge. The fighter is set for the UFC 326 co-main event on March 7 in Las Vegas with no indicated complications.
08 Mar 2026 | 02:00 AM
Gregory Rodrigues VS Brunno Ferreira
Gregory Rodrigues is the clear favorite at -205 odds, implying a 64.5% win probability with no line movement or sharp money splits indicating value against him. No recent injuries reported for either fighter in the last 6 hours, and both are confirmed for UFC 326 on March 7. Rodrigues has strong recent form, outworking opponents like Roman Kopylov, while Ferreira's news focuses on scheduling without performance edges. Head-to-head is unavailable as this is their first meeting, but Rodrigues' favoritism and stable odds suggest he holds the mathematical edge.
08 Mar 2026 | 02:00 AM
Drew Dober VS Michael Johnson
Michael Johnson is favored at -155 odds with an implied probability of 58.3%, reflecting his edge in recent activity despite a canceled fight. No line movement or injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either fighter. Dober's last win was a late TKO over an unranked opponent in October, while Johnson's experience gives him the predictive advantage in this lightweight matchup. Head-to-head and advanced metrics unavailable, but current market odds indicate value on Johnson.