13 Jan 2026 | 12:00 AM
Tampa Bay Lightning VS Philadelphia Flyers Prediction
Current market pricing from major books has Tampa Bay around -160 (implied ~61.5%) on the moneyline, with roughly a 50/50 public bets and money split, indicating no clear reverse line movement against them and support from sharper bettors at the current price.[1][2] Tampa Bay is on a nine-game winning streak and just beat Philadelphia 7–2 on this same ice two days ago, while also winning 3–0 in their previous meeting this season, underscoring a strong matchup edge and superior offensive depth.[4][5][8] The Lightning have been a strong road team in third periods and overall puck line performance, while the Flyers have struggled at home as underdogs and have a severely cold power play, limiting their ability to leverage home ice.[2][3][5] Given form, head-to-head dominance, and underlying matchup metrics, the true win probability for Tampa Bay reasonably exceeds the ~61–62% implied by -160, making the Lightning a modest but positive-EV favorite.
AI-driven insights suggest this as the most probable outcome
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Tampa Bay Lightning