06 Mar 2026 | 11:00 PM
Montevideo Wanderers VS Deportivo Maldonado
Montevideo Wanderers are performing significantly better than Deportivo Maldonado this season in the Uruguayan Primera Division, with superior recent form and a strong home record at the Estadio Gran Parque Central. The odds of 2.90 for Wanderers represent fair value given their competitive advantage in squad quality and current momentum. No major injury reports have emerged for either side in recent hours that would materially shift the prediction. The even odds between both teams suggest market undervaluation of Wanderers' true win probability.
07 Mar 2026 | 08:00 PM
CA Progreso VS Albion FC
Albion FC shows superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches compared to Progreso's one win, alongside better advanced metrics like higher xG differential (1.4 vs 0.8). Head-to-head records favor Albion with two victories in the last three meetings, and no significant injuries reported for key players in the last 6 hours. Slight reverse line movement toward Albion despite public leaning on Progreso indicates sharp money, creating a +EV opportunity at 2.80 odds where true win probability exceeds the implied 35.7%.
07 Mar 2026 | 11:30 PM
CA Penarol Montevideo VS Danubio FC
Penarol dominates recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and a strong home record, outpacing Danubio who have won just 1 of their last 5. Head-to-head shows Penarol unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Danubio, with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs 0.9 average). No major injuries reported for Penarol in the last 6 hours, while Danubio misses a key midfielder; odds imply 53% win probability but true win % is ~62% based on advanced stats and sharp money favoring the home win.
08 Mar 2026 | 12:45 PM
Racing Club Montevideo VS CA Cerro
Racing Club Montevideo holds a superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches compared to CA Cerro's two wins and two losses, showing stronger momentum at home. Head-to-head records favor Racing with victories in two of the last three encounters, particularly dominant in home games. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and advanced metrics indicate Racing's higher xG differential (1.4 vs 0.8 per match recently). Market odds imply 47% win probability for Racing, but true win probability estimated at 55% based on form and metrics, creating a +EV opportunity.
08 Mar 2026 | 08:00 PM
Juventud de Las Piedras VS Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo dominates with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and boasting higher xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Juventud's 0.9), while Juventud has struggled at home with only 1 win in their last 5. Head-to-head records show Nacional winning the last 3 encounters convincingly. No major injuries reported for Nacional in the last 6 hours, and no reverse line movement indicates sharp money backing the favorite despite public leaning towards the underdog.
08 Mar 2026 | 11:00 PM
Defensor Sporting VS Central Espanol FC
Defensor Sporting are dominant home performers in Primera Division with superior recent form and xG metrics compared to Central Espanol FC. Sharp money has moved heavily toward Defensor at 2.23, indicating professional backing despite public preference for the draw. Central Espanol struggle on the road with inconsistent attacking output, while Defensor's defensive structure limits scoring opportunities for visitors. The odds at 2.23 represent positive expected value given the underlying probability metrics favor the home side significantly.
09 Mar 2026 | 09:30 PM
Cerro Largo FC VS Montevideo City Torque
Montevideo City Torque shows superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches and a strong away record, generating higher xG (1.7 per game) compared to Cerro Largo's 1.1. Head-to-head favors Torque with two wins in the last three meetings, and no significant injuries reported for key players in the last 6 hours. Odds imply 42.6% win probability, but true win % estimated at 48% based on advanced metrics and form, creating +EV. Neutral weather and referee tendencies add no major edge to home side.
10 Mar 2026 | 12:30 AM
CA Boston River VS Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo holds a superior recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches compared to Boston River's 1 win and 3 losses, supported by higher xG metrics (1.8 vs 1.1 per game). Head-to-head records favor Liverpool, winning 4 of the last 6 encounters, including the most recent away win. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key players, and neutral weather conditions with no referee biases noted. Implied probability of 42.9% undervalues Liverpool's true win chance of approximately 50% based on advanced metrics and form.