03 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Dundee United FC VS St Mirren FC
Dundee United, as the home team in the Scottish Premiership, holds a superior recent form with strong xG metrics (1.65 per game last 5 matches vs St Mirren's 1.12) and an unbeaten record in their last 3 home games against St Mirren. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Dundee United players, while St Mirren misses a midfielder due to suspension. Head-to-head favors Dundee United (won 2 of last 3), and mild weather conditions at Tannadice pose no issues. True win probability ~42% exceeds implied 38% from odds, creating +EV.
04 Mar 2026 | 08:00 PM
Aberdeen FC VS Celtic FC
Celtic FC dominates recent head-to-heads against Aberdeen, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings with superior xG metrics (avg 2.1 vs Aberdeen's 0.9). Aberdeen's form shows 2 wins in last 5, hampered by key injuries to midfielder Connor Barron (confirmed out, last 6 hours) and defender Gavin Molloy (doubtful), while Celtic boasts full squad fitness and sharp money flow (65% on Celtic despite 75% public bets on home). No reverse line movement favors Aberdeen; Celtic's away efficiency (DVOA +18%) and referee's low-draw tendency (12% draws) cement the edge.
07 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Dundee FC VS Motherwell FC
Motherwell FC shows strong recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and superior xG metrics (1.7 xG per game vs Dundee's 1.1), indicating better chance creation. Head-to-head favors Motherwell with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings, including a 2-1 away victory at Dundee earlier this season. No major injuries reported for Motherwell in the last 6 hours, while Dundee misses key midfielder due to suspension; odds imply 50% win probability but true win % estimated at 58% based on advanced stats and sharp money moving the line toward Motherwell despite public on home team.