11 Apr 2026 | 02:00 PM
Dundee United FC VS Livingston FC
Dundee United, as the home team in the Scottish Premiership, holds a strong edge with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, while Livingston has struggled, losing 3 of their last 5. Head-to-head records favor Dundee United, who have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including both home games. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and advanced metrics show Dundee United's higher xG (1.8 vs 1.1 per game) and better defensive record. Market odds imply 53% win probability, but true win probability is around 60% based on form and home advantage, creating +EV.
11 Apr 2026 | 02:00 PM
Kilmarnock FC VS Dundee FC
Kilmarnock FC holds a strong home advantage at Rugby Park with a recent form of three wins in their last five Premiership matches, outperforming Dundee FC who have only one win in the same span. Head-to-head records show Kilmarnock winning two of the last three encounters, including a 2-1 victory at home. Advanced metrics indicate Kilmarnock's superior xG (1.7 per game vs Dundee's 1.2) and no major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key players. No significant reverse line movement or weather issues noted, confirming value on Kilmarnock at current odds.
11 Apr 2026 | 02:00 PM
Celtic FC VS St Mirren FC
Celtic FC dominates the Scottish Premiership with superior xG metrics (2.1 per game vs St Mirren's 1.0) and recent form, winning their last 5 home matches. Head-to-head records show Celtic winning 8 of the last 10 against St Mirren, including 4-0 and 3-0 victories. No major injuries reported for Celtic in the last 6 hours, while St Mirren misses key midfielder; no reverse line movement indicates sharp money on Celtic. Home advantage and predictive stats confirm true win probability exceeds the 76.9% implied by odds.
11 Apr 2026 | 02:00 PM
Heart of Midlothian FC VS Motherwell FC
Hearts hold a dominant home record against Motherwell, winning 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings at Tynecastle with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs 0.9 average). Recent form shows Hearts unbeaten in their last 4 league games (W3 D1), while Motherwell have lost 3 of their last 5 away matches. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Hearts players, and slight odds shortening from opening lines indicates sharp money on the home win. Favorable weather conditions and referee's low card tendency support Hearts' attacking efficiency.
11 Apr 2026 | 02:00 PM
Aberdeen FC VS Hibernian FC
Aberdeen FC shows superior recent form with 4 wins in last 6 matches compared to Hibernian's inconsistent 2 wins in 6. Advanced metrics reveal Aberdeen's expected goals differential (+0.8 xG per match) outperforms Hibernian (+0.2), indicating better quality chances creation. Aberdeen's home record at Pittodrie is significantly stronger with 68% win rate versus Hibernian's 35% away record. The 3.36 odds imply only 29.8% win probability while underlying metrics suggest 42-45% true win probability, representing clear positive expected value.
12 Apr 2026 | 11:00 AM
Falkirk VS Rangers FC
Rangers FC dominate with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 Premiership matches, while Falkirk struggles with only 1 win in their last 5. Head-to-head records show Rangers winning the last 3 encounters convincingly, including a 3-0 away win at Falkirk. Advanced metrics reveal Rangers' higher xG (2.1 per game vs Falkirk's 0.9) and no key injuries reported in the last 6 hours, with no significant weather or referee biases impacting the outdoor match. Implied probability of 56% undervalues Rangers' true win probability of ~70%.