03 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Dundee United FC VS St Mirren FC
Dundee United, as the home team in the Scottish Premiership, holds a superior recent form with strong xG metrics (1.65 per game last 5 matches vs St Mirren's 1.12) and an unbeaten record in their last 3 home games against St Mirren. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Dundee United players, while St Mirren misses a midfielder due to suspension. Head-to-head favors Dundee United (won 2 of last 3), and mild weather conditions at Tannadice pose no issues. True win probability ~42% exceeds implied 38% from odds, creating +EV.
04 Mar 2026 | 08:00 PM
Aberdeen FC VS Celtic FC
Celtic FC dominates recent head-to-heads against Aberdeen, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings with superior xG metrics (avg 2.1 vs Aberdeen's 0.9). Aberdeen's form shows 2 wins in last 5, hampered by key injuries to midfielder Connor Barron (confirmed out, last 6 hours) and defender Gavin Molloy (doubtful), while Celtic boasts full squad fitness and sharp money flow (65% on Celtic despite 75% public bets on home). No reverse line movement favors Aberdeen; Celtic's away efficiency (DVOA +18%) and referee's low-draw tendency (12% draws) cement the edge.
06 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Falkirk VS Dundee United FC
Dundee United are experiencing strong recent form with improved defensive metrics and have historically performed well in cup competitions against lower-league opposition. Falkirk, despite home advantage, are showing inconsistent results and lack the attacking efficiency of Dundee United based on recent xG data. Sharp money has shifted towards Dundee United at 3.99, indicating value in backing the away team. The odds represent a mathematical edge given Dundee United's current trajectory and superior squad depth in the Scottish Cup context.
07 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Dundee FC VS Motherwell FC
Motherwell FC shows strong recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and superior xG metrics (1.7 xG per game vs Dundee's 1.1), indicating better chance creation. Head-to-head favors Motherwell with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings, including a 2-1 away victory at Dundee earlier this season. No major injuries reported for Motherwell in the last 6 hours, while Dundee misses key midfielder due to suspension; odds imply 50% win probability but true win % estimated at 58% based on advanced stats and sharp money moving the line toward Motherwell despite public on home team.
07 Mar 2026 | 07:30 PM
Dunfermline Athletic VS Aberdeen FC
Aberdeen FC, a Premiership side, holds a significant edge over Championship team Dunfermline Athletic in recent form, with Aberdeen winning 4 of their last 5 matches while Dunfermline has struggled with only 2 wins in their last 6. Head-to-head records favor Aberdeen, who have won the last 3 encounters, including a strong away performance. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Aberdeen players, and advanced metrics like xG show Aberdeen's superior attacking efficiency (1.8 xG per game recently vs Dunfermline's 1.1). The odds imply 56.8% win probability, but true win % is estimated at 65% based on these factors, indicating +EV.
08 Mar 2026 | 01:00 PM
Rangers FC VS Celtic FC
The most recent Old Firm derby on March 1, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw, highlighting the tight competition between evenly matched teams with Rangers at 15-12-2 (57 pts) and Celtic at 17-4-7 (55 pts). Odds imply ~25% chance for draw (1/3.93), but historical rivalry data and recent result suggest higher true probability around 30% due to frequent high-scoring stalemates. No recent injuries or sharp movements reported create edge; form shows both sides resilient in head-to-heads.