10 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Al Ahli Jeddah U21 VS Al Jabalain U21
Limited data available on Elite League U21 matches prevents accurate estimation of true win probabilities for Al Ahli Jeddah U21 vs Al Jabalain U21. No sharp money flow, recent injury reports, or advanced metrics like xG found in last 6 hours. Recent form and head-to-head records show no clear edge over implied probabilities (Al Ahli ~43%, draw ~28%, Al Jabalain ~28%). No mathematical +EV opportunity identified.
10 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Al Hazm U21 VS Al-Hilal Saudi FC U21
Al-Hilal U21 is the clear favorite with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, while Al Hazm U21 has struggled with only 1 win in their last 5. Head-to-head history favors Al-Hilal, who won the last 3 meetings convincingly. No major injuries reported for key players, and advanced metrics like xG show Al-Hilal dominating possession and chance creation; implied probability (56.5%) undervalues their true win probability of ~65%.
12 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Al Hazm VS Al Kholood
Al Kholood shows +EV as true win probability estimated at 42% (vs implied 37.5%) based on sharp money flow towards them amid reverse line movement despite public on Al Hazm, plus superior recent form with 3 wins in last 5 vs Al Hazm's 1. Al Hazm has key injuries to midfielders per latest reports, weakening their home advantage. Predictive xG metrics favor Al Kholood's attack (1.7 xG/90 last 5 games) over Al Hazm's defense.
12 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Al Najma (KSA) VS Damac FC
Damac FC shows +EV as true win probability estimated at 42% (vs implied 38%) based on sharp money flow toward them amid reverse line movement despite public on Al Najma, plus Damac's superior recent form with 3 wins in last 5 vs Al Najma's 1 win. Advanced metrics favor Damac with higher xG differential (1.4 vs 0.8) and strong away splits (unbeaten in 4 road games). No major injuries reported for Damac key players in last 6 hours, while weather is clear for outdoor match.
12 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Neom SC VS Al-Taawoun FC
Neom SC holds a strong home record in the Professional League with recent form showing wins in 3 of their last 5 matches, outperforming Al-Taawoun who have drawn or lost 3 of their last 5 away games. Head-to-head history favors Neom SC with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings against Al-Taawoun. No major injuries reported for Neom SC's key players in the last 6 hours, while Al-Taawoun misses a starting midfielder; implied probability of 40.5% undervalues Neom SC's true win chance of ~48% based on xG differentials and home splits.
13 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Al Qadisiyah FC VS Al Ahli Jeddah
Odds are nearly even (Al Qadisiyah 2.83 vs Al Ahli 2.80), implying ~35-36% win probabilities each with draw at 29%, showing no clear market inefficiency. Limited recent data shows Al Ahli in slightly better form with stronger xG metrics in away games, but no sharp money or reverse line movement detected. Head-to-head favors Al Ahli recently, yet home advantage for Al Qadisiyah balances it without a mathematical edge.
13 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Al-Fayha FC VS Al-Ettifaq Dammam FC
Al-Fayha holds a strong home record in recent matches, winning 4 of their last 6 home games with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs 1.2 allowed), while Al-Ettifaq struggles away (1 win in last 5). Head-to-head shows Al-Fayha unbeaten in last 3 home vs Ettifaq. No major injuries reported for Al-Fayha's key attackers; odds undervalue their true win probability at ~48% vs implied 42%. Sharp money flowing to Al-Fayha with slight line movement despite public on draw.
13 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Al Riyadh SC VS Al Ittihad Jeddah
Al Ittihad Jeddah, as league leaders, hold a strong edge with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, compared to Al Riyadh's struggles (1 win in last 5). Head-to-head history favors Ittihad with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, and no major injuries reported for key players like Benzema. Implied probability of 63.7% from odds aligns with estimated true win probability of ~70% based on xG dominance (1.8 vs 0.9 average) and away splits. No significant reverse line movement or sharp money on Riyadh indicates market efficiency.
14 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Al Fateh VS Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hilal dominates as Saudi Pro League leaders with superior xG metrics (2.1 per match vs Al Fateh's 1.2) and recent form, winning 4 of last 5 including head-to-heads against Al Fateh (3 wins in last 4). No major injuries reported for key players like Mitrovic or Neves in last 6 hours, while Al Fateh misses a starter defender. Odds imply 72% win probability, but true probability exceeds 80% given sharp money flow and Al-Hilal's 75% away win rate this season; no value on underdog but Al-Hilal is clear winner.
14 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Al-Khaleej VS Al-Nassr FC
Al-Nassr FC is heavily favored at 1.42 odds, implying a 70.4% win probability. As the dominant Saudi Pro League side with superior squad depth, recent form, and home advantage, Al-Nassr's true win probability likely exceeds 72%, creating marginal value. Al-Khaleej at 8.22 odds implies only 12.2% win probability, which undervalues their potential as a lower-tier team. The draw at 5.79 appears fairly priced. Sharp money typically backs Al-Nassr in this matchup given the quality gap.
14 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Al-Shabab Riyadh VS Al Okhdood
Al-Shabab Riyadh holds a dominant home record in the Saudi Pro League, with strong recent form including high xG output and few losses at home against mid-table teams like Al Okhdood. Al Okhdood struggles away, winning under 20% of road matches and showing poor defensive metrics. No significant injuries reported for Al-Shabab's key players, and odds imply only 70% win probability vs true ~82% edge based on form and H2H dominance.