22 Feb 2026 | 04:30 PM
Korona Kielce VS Lech Poznan Prediction
Lech Poznan shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 Ekstraklasa matches and a strong xG differential of +1.2 per game, outpacing Korona Kielce's inconsistent play and negative xG away from home. Head-to-head records favor Lech with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, including a 2-0 victory at Kielce earlier this season. No major injuries reported for Lech in the last 6 hours, while Korona misses a key defender; mild weather and neutral referee tendencies add no edge to the home side. True win probability for Lech at 38% exceeds the implied 35% from odds, creating +EV.
AI-driven insights suggest this as the most probable outcome
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Lech Poznan