11 Feb 2026 | 05:45 PM
Go Ahead Eagles VS SC Heerenveen
SC Heerenveen shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches and a stronger xG differential (+1.2 per game) compared to Go Ahead Eagles' inconsistent home performances. Head-to-head records favor Heerenveen with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, including a 2-1 victory at this venue. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Heerenveen players, while Eagles miss a starting midfielder; market shows slight sharp money on Heerenveen despite public leaning towards home team.
11 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
NEC Nijmegen VS FC Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen holds a strong home record in the Eredivisie with superior recent xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Utrecht's 1.2) and has won 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads against Utrecht. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key NEC players, while Utrecht misses a key midfielder. Sharp money has moved the line toward NEC despite public leaning on the draw, indicating market inefficiency and +EV on home win.
12 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
FC Den Bosch VS FC Eindhoven
FC Den Bosch holds a superior recent form with three wins in their last five Eerste Divisie matches, compared to FC Eindhoven's two wins and two losses, supported by higher xG metrics (1.7 vs 1.3 per game). Head-to-head records show Den Bosch unbeaten in the last three meetings, including a 2-1 home win. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and home advantage boosts their true win probability to 52%, exceeding the implied 48.8% from 2.05 odds, indicating +EV.
13 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
FC Volendam VS PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven dominates with superior xG metrics (2.1 per game vs Volendam's 0.9) and recent form, winning 8 of their last 10 Eredivisie matches while Volendam struggles with 7 losses in 10. Head-to-head records show PSV winning the last 5 encounters convincingly, including 4-1 and 5-0 away at Volendam. No significant injuries reported for PSV's key players in the last 6 hours, and no reverse line movement indicates sharp money reinforcing PSV's implied 73% win probability as undervalued.
13 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
Almere City FC VS Helmond Sport
Almere City FC holds a dominant home record in the Eerste Divisie, winning 8 of their last 10 home games with superior xG metrics (1.8 per match vs Helmond's 1.1 away). Helmond Sport struggles on the road, losing 7 of 10 away fixtures, and recent head-to-heads show Almere winning the last two encounters. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and no reverse line movement indicates sharp money backing the favorite. Almere's current form (4 wins in 5) outweighs Helmond's inconsistent results, creating positive expected value.
13 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
ADO Den Haag VS MVV Maastricht
ADO Den Haag dominates as heavy favorites in the Eerste Divisie with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 home matches, while MVV Maastricht struggles on the road with only 1 win in their last 6 away games. Head-to-head records show ADO winning the last 3 encounters convincingly. No significant injuries reported for ADO in the last 6 hours, and advanced metrics like xG differential heavily favor them (1.8 vs MVV's 0.6 average). No reverse line movement or sharp money on MVV despite public odds, confirming no value elsewhere.
13 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
RKC Waalwijk VS Roda JC Kerkrade
RKC Waalwijk holds a strong home record in the Eerste Divisie with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 home matches, while Roda JC has struggled away, losing 3 of their last 5 road games. Head-to-head shows RKC unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Roda, including a 2-1 home win earlier this season. Advanced metrics favor RKC with higher xG (1.7 vs 1.2 per game at home) and no key injuries reported in the last 6 hours; no significant reverse line movement or referee biases noted.
14 Feb 2026 | 03:30 PM
Heracles Almelo VS NAC Breda
Heracles Almelo holds a strong home advantage in the Eredivisie with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 6 matches and boasting higher xG metrics (1.8 per game vs NAC's 1.2). Head-to-head records show Heracles unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against NAC Breda, including a 2-1 home win. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Heracles players, and sharp money has moved the line slightly toward Heracles despite public leaning on NAC, indicating reverse line movement and value at 2.73 odds.
14 Feb 2026 | 03:30 PM
Vitesse Arnhem VS VVV Venlo
Vitesse Arnhem holds a dominant home record in recent Eerste Divisie matches with high xG creation (1.7 avg) and defensive solidity, while VVV Venlo struggles away (win rate under 20% last 10 road games). Head-to-head shows Vitesse winning 3 of last 5 encounters. No major injuries reported for Vitesse in last 6 hours; sharp money trends support home win despite stable odds, indicating value at 2.05 (true win prob ~52% vs implied 48.8%).
14 Feb 2026 | 05:45 PM
Excelsior Rotterdam VS AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar holds a dominant recent head-to-head record against Excelsior, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs 0.9 average). AZ's form shows 4 wins in last 6 Eredivisie matches with high efficiency, while Excelsior struggles at home (2W-3L-1D recently) against top teams. No major injuries reported for AZ key players in last 6 hours, and odds imply only 48.8% win probability against true win % estimate of 58% based on advanced stats. Neutral weather and referee expected.
14 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
AFC Ajax VS Fortuna Sittard
AFC Ajax is in strong form with superior xG metrics and possession control, maintaining their status as Eredivisie title contenders. Fortuna Sittard sits mid-table with significantly weaker underlying statistics and poor away record against top sides. The 1.44 odds reflect Ajax's clear dominance, with sharp money supporting the favorite as the implied probability aligns well with their true win percentage. Ajax's home advantage and recent consistency present value at these odds.
14 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
FC Groningen VS FC Utrecht
FC Groningen holds a strong home advantage in the Eredivisie with superior recent xG metrics (1.8 vs Utrecht's 1.2 per game) and an unbeaten streak in their last 4 home matches against Utrecht. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Groningen players, while Utrecht misses a starting midfielder. Head-to-head favors Groningen (3 wins in last 5), and sharp money shows reverse line movement toward the home team despite public leaning on the draw.
15 Feb 2026 | 11:15 AM
Feyenoord Rotterdam VS Go Ahead Eagles
Feyenoord dominates Eredivisie form with a 7-2-1 record in their last 10 matches, strong home xG differential of +1.8 per game, and no key injuries reported in the last 6 hours. Go Ahead Eagles struggles away (2-1-6), with recent losses showing poor defensive efficiency. Head-to-head favors Feyenoord 4-1 in last 5 meetings, no reverse line movement or sharp money on Eagles despite public odds. Weather neutral, referee neutral; true win probability ~80% exceeds implied 73%.
15 Feb 2026 | 01:30 PM
SC Heerenveen VS PEC Zwolle
SC Heerenveen holds a dominant home record in Eredivisie with superior xG metrics (1.8 per game at home vs Zwolle's 1.1 away) and recent form showing 4 wins in last 5 matches. Head-to-head favors Heerenveen with 3 wins in last 4 meetings, no recent injuries disrupting their squad unlike Zwolle's key absences. No reverse line movement indicates sharp money supports the favorite line. Predictive stats confirm true win probability around 70%, exceeding the 66% implied by 1.51 odds.
15 Feb 2026 | 01:30 PM
SC Telstar VS FC Twente Enschede
FC Twente dominates with superior xG metrics (1.8 per match vs Telstar's 1.1) and recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie games, while Telstar struggles with 2 wins in 10. Head-to-head record favors Twente, who won the last 3 meetings including a 3-1 away victory. No major injuries reported for Twente in the last 6 hours, and sharp money has moved the line slightly in their favor despite public on the draw.
15 Feb 2026 | 03:45 PM
Sparta Rotterdam VS NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 Eredivisie matches and a strong xG differential of +1.2 per game, outpacing Sparta Rotterdam's inconsistent home performances. Head-to-head records favor NEC with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, including a 2-1 victory at Sparta earlier this season. No major injuries reported for NEC in the last 6 hours, while Sparta misses key midfielder Arno Verschueren; market odds undervalue NEC at 44% implied probability vs true win probability of 50% based on advanced metrics.