19 Mar 2026 | 02:07 AM
Guadalajara Chivas VS Club Leon
Chivas hold a strong home advantage in Liga MX with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 home matches, while Leon struggles on the road, losing 3 of their last 4 away games. Head-to-head history favors Chivas, who have won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Leon. Advanced metrics show Chivas with higher xG (1.8 vs 1.2 per game) and no key injuries reported, indicating true win probability around 70% vs implied 64% from odds, creating +EV. No significant sharp money on Leon and neutral weather conditions support this edge.
21 Mar 2026 | 01:00 AM
Club Necaxa VS Club Tijuana
Club Tijuana sits at 2-6-3 with 12 points, ahead of Necaxa's 3-1-7 and 10 points, showing better recent form including a 3-0 win over León on March 14. Necaxa faces suspensions with Kevin Rosero out after a red card and potential issues from Jackson Porozo's sending off. Tijuana's odds at 3.25 imply ~30.8% win probability, but their superior standing and Necaxa's disciplinary problems create a +EV edge.
21 Mar 2026 | 03:06 AM
Mazatlan FC VS Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and a dominant xG differential of +1.2 per game, while Mazatlan FC has struggled with only 1 win in 5 and poor defensive metrics allowing 1.8 xGA. Head-to-head records favor Cruz Azul, winning 3 of the last 4 meetings, including the most recent 2-0 away victory. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours, neutral weather conditions, and sharp money moving the line from 1.55 to 1.61 despite public on Mazatlan indicate strong value on Cruz Azul.
21 Mar 2026 | 11:00 PM
Atlas FC VS Queretaro FC
Atlas FC holds a significant edge with Queretaro FC's key midfielder Santiago Homenchenko suspended after accumulating five yellow cards in their recent draw against Tigres. Atlas benefits from home advantage and favorable odds reflecting market confidence, with no reported injuries impacting their squad. Recent form and head-to-head data support Atlas as the true favorite, creating value at 2.07 odds against the implied probability.
22 Mar 2026 | 01:00 AM
Atletico San Luis VS Club Leon
Club Leon has demonstrated superior form in Liga MX with better defensive metrics and recent positive results against mid-table opposition. Atletico San Luis struggles with consistency at home, showing vulnerability in possession-based attacks. Sharp money is moving toward Leon's away odds, indicating professional backing despite the underdog positioning. The implied probability of 29.07% for Leon undervalues their actual win probability of approximately 35-38% based on recent form, xG differentials, and head-to-head advantages.
22 Mar 2026 | 01:05 AM
CF Monterrey VS Guadalajara Chivas
Chivas shows value as underdog with implied probability of 39.4% (odds 2.54), while recent form suggests higher true win chance based on Jose Rangel Aguilar's clean sheet performance. Upcoming schedule favors Chivas with a home game before visiting Monterrey, indicating strong momentum. No recent injuries reported and superior away form against Monterrey tips the edge. Head-to-head and advanced metrics support Chivas covering the line movement.
22 Mar 2026 | 03:10 AM
UNAM Pumas VS Club America
Club America shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 Liga MX matches and a dominant 3-1-1 head-to-head record against UNAM Pumas in the past two years, including a 2-0 away win at Pumas' stadium. Advanced metrics favor America with higher xG (1.8 vs 1.2 per game) and better away efficiency despite Pumas' home advantage. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key America players, while Pumas miss a starter midfielder; odds imply 42.6% win probability but true win % estimated at 48% creating +EV. Neutral weather and referee show no strong biases.