28 Feb 2026 | 11:00 PM
Deportivo Toluca FC VS Guadalajara Chivas Prediction
Toluca holds a dominant home record against Chivas, winning 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads at Estadio Nemesio Díez, with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs 1.1 average). Recent form favors Toluca with three wins in their last five matches and no key injuries reported, while Chivas struggles away (1 win in last 5 road games) amid sharp money moving the line toward home despite public backing on Chivas. Advanced stats show Toluca's higher possession efficiency and pace, implying a true win probability of 52% vs market's 47%.
AI-driven insights suggest this as the most probable outcome
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Deportivo Toluca FC